Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers?

Task-level automation exposure for Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers: 12 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Automation Exposure

45% weighted task index

12 of 12 tasks scored

Median Salary

$41,380 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

2,760 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-10.4% employment change

4,800 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 14 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$32,320 – $46,380

Highest medians

Missouri $46,380
Texas $46,040
New Jersey $44,370
Indiana $39,870
California $39,520

Lowest medians

Virginia $32,320
Kansas $32,970
Maryland $34,290
Ohio $36,210
Michigan $36,700

State figures come from the 41-9091 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 45%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 11%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 26%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 18%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 0/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

12 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 35%

4 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 36%

4 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 28%

4 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 08/2018 · Occupational Expert

    Contact customers to ensure their satisfaction with products or services.

  • New 08/2018 · Occupational Expert

    Train new recruits or other employees.

Constituent Tasks

#13233 · Core · 38% automatable

Explain products or services and prices and demonstrate use of products.

interpersonal — Technical explanation to customers needs live interaction

Explain technical product or service information to customers. Demonstrate products to consumers.
#13238 · Core · 68% automatable

Develop prospect lists.

data analysis — AI analyzes market data to identify prospects

Identify potential customers.
#13231 · Core · 55% automatable

Deliver merchandise and collect payment.

decision support — AI can arrange deliveries; exceptions need human handling

Arrange delivery of goods or services. Process sales or other transactions.
#13232 · Core · 70% automatable

Write and record orders for merchandise or enter orders into computers.

interpersonal — Order capture automatable; customer interaction partly human

Take product orders from customers.
#13235 · Core · 48% automatable

Arrange buying parties and solicit sponsorship of such parties to sell merchandise.

decision support — Campaign coordination needs human judgment and relationships

Contact current or potential customers to promote products or services. Coordinate sales campaigns.
#13236 · Core · 68% automatable

Answer questions about product features and benefits.

information retrieval — Product questions answered from knowledge base

Answer customer questions about goods or services.
#13239 · Core · 15% automatable

Distribute product samples or literature that details products or services.

physical manipulation — Physically distributing samples and literature

Distribute promotional literature or samples to customers.
#13237 · Core · 44% automatable

Circulate among potential customers or travel by foot, truck, automobile, or bicycle to deliver or sell merchandise or services.

decision support — AI can arrange deliveries; exceptions need human handling

Sell products or services. Arrange delivery of goods or services.
#21075 · Core · 32% automatable

Persuade customers to purchase merchandise or services.

interpersonal — Closing sales requires persuasion and accountability

Sell products or services.
#13241 · Core · 6% automatable

Set up and display sample merchandise at parties or stands.

physical manipulation — Setting up displays requires hands-on placement

Set up merchandise displays.
#13240 · Core · 65% automatable

Order or purchase supplies.

decision support — Merchandise purchasing aided; human owns buying decisions

Purchase stocks of merchandise or supplies.
#13242 · Supplemental · 10% automatable

Stock carts or stands.

physical manipulation — Physically moving and shelving stock items

Stock products or parts.
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Community Sentiment

Do you agree?

Do you agree with the AI automation risk score calculated for this occupation?

Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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