Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?

Task-level automation exposure for Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic: 19 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

27% weighted task index

19 of 19 tasks scored

Median Salary

$50,140 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

25,250 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-8.3% employment change

1,900 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 40 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$22,650 – $72,670

Highest medians

Iowa $72,670
Pennsylvania $66,970
Vermont $66,240
Washington $63,560
Maryland $61,470

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $22,650
Mississippi $39,320
Kansas $40,260
North Dakota $43,480
Michigan $44,090

State figures come from the 51-4023 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 27%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 57%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 18%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 5%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 25/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

19 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 17%

3 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 10%

2 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 73%

14 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#10092 · Core · 38% automatable

Monitor machine cycles and mill operation to detect jamming and to ensure that products conform to specifications.

visual inspection — Malfunction detection relies on live physical observation

Watch operating equipment to detect malfunctions.
#10091 · Core · 12% automatable

Adjust and correct machine set-ups to reduce thicknesses, reshape products, and eliminate product defects.

physical manipulation — Metal and plastic forming equipment run by hand

Operate metal or plastic forming equipment.
#10096 · Core · 12% automatable

Start operation of rolling and milling machines to flatten, temper, form, and reduce sheet metal sections and to produce steel strips.

physical manipulation — Metal and plastic forming equipment run by hand

Operate metal or plastic forming equipment.
#10093 · Core · 27% automatable

Examine, inspect, and measure raw materials and finished products to verify conformance to specifications.

physical manipulation — Hands-on dimensional measurement of workpieces

Inspect metal, plastic, or composite products. Measure dimensions of completed products or workpieces to verify conformance to specifications.
#10094 · Core · 71% automatable

Read rolling orders, blueprints, and mill schedules to determine setup specifications, work sequences, product dimensions, and installation procedures.

information retrieval — Parse specs and materials from orders

Read work orders or other instructions to determine product specifications or materials requirements. Study blueprints or other instructions to determine equipment setup requirements. Review blueprints or other instructions to determine operational methods or sequences.
#10095 · Core · 27% automatable

Manipulate controls and observe dial indicators to monitor, adjust, and regulate speeds of machine mechanisms.

visual inspection — Sensor/vision monitoring possible, but physical verification and accountability remain human

Monitor equipment operation to ensure proper functioning. Operate metal or plastic forming equipment.
#10097 · Core · 5% automatable

Set distance points between rolls, guides, meters, and stops, according to specifications.

physical manipulation — Manual fixture adjustment

Set equipment guides, stops, spacers, or other fixtures.
#10105 · Core · 65% automatable

Calculate draft space and roll speed for each mill stand to plan rolling sequences and specified dimensions and tempers.

data analysis — Production requirement calc; human validates inputs

Calculate specific material, equipment, or labor requirements for production.
#10103 · Core · 5% automatable

Install equipment such as guides, guards, gears, cooling equipment, and rolls, using hand tools.

physical manipulation — Physical component installation

Install mechanical components in production equipment.
#10099 · Core · 5% automatable

Position, align, and secure arbors, spindles, coils, mandrels, dies, and slitting knives.

physical manipulation — Mounting tools requires hands-on setup

Mount attachments or tools onto production equipment.
#10101 · Core · 23% automatable

Fill oil cups, adjust valves, and observe gauges to control flow of metal coolants and lubricants onto workpieces.

visual inspection — Instrument monitoring needs physical sensor presence

Monitor instruments to ensure proper production conditions. Adjust equipment controls to regulate coolant flow.
#10107 · Core · 9% automatable

Activate shears and grinders to trim workpieces.

physical manipulation — Grinding requires hands-on control and feel

Reshape metal workpieces to established specifications. Operate grinding equipment. Operate cutting equipment.
#10104 · Core · 8% automatable

Signal and assist other workers to remove and position equipment, fill hoppers, and feed materials into machines.

physical manipulation — Embodied signaling in shared physical workspace

Signal others to coordinate work activities.
#10102 · Core · 82% automatable

Record mill production on schedule sheets.

data analysis — Record production data into structured logs

Record operational or production data.
#10100 · Core · 33% automatable

Direct and train other workers to change rolls, operate mill equipment, remove coils and cobbles, and band and load material.

interpersonal — Equipment instruction requires live demonstration and correction

Instruct workers to use equipment or perform technical procedures. Direct operational or production activities.
#10098 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Thread or feed sheets or rods through rolling mechanisms, or start and control mechanisms that automatically feed steel into rollers.

physical manipulation — Feeding materials into equipment is physical

Feed materials or products into or through equipment.
#10106 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Select rolls, dies, roll stands, and chucks from data charts to form specified contours and to fabricate products.

decision support — Equipment selection against specs; human verifies fit

Select production equipment according to product specifications.
#10108 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Remove scratches and polish roll surfaces, using polishing stones and electric buffers.

physical manipulation — Manual polishing of workpieces requires dexterity

Polish materials, workpieces, or finished products.
#10109 · Supplemental · 9% automatable

Disassemble sizing mills removed from rolling lines, and sort and store parts.

physical manipulation — Physical product sorting needs manipulation in warehouse

Sort materials or products for processing, storing, shipping, or grading. Disassemble equipment for maintenance or repair.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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