Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Foundry Mold and Coremakers?

Task-level automation exposure for Foundry Mold and Coremakers: 13 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

7% weighted task index

13 of 13 tasks scored

Median Salary

$48,110 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

12,790 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-23.0% employment change

800 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 33 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$37,310 – $67,060

Highest medians

Oregon $67,060
Missouri $61,480
Illinois $57,110
Minnesota $56,840
Massachusetts $55,940

Lowest medians

Tennessee $37,310
Florida $38,330
Mississippi $39,560
South Carolina $41,100
Texas $42,190

State figures come from the 51-4071 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 7%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 100%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 0%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 22/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

13 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 0%

0 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 0%

0 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 100%

13 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#12050 · Core · 7% automatable

Clean and smooth molds, cores, and core boxes, and repair surface imperfections.

physical manipulation — Hand finishing of metal edges with tools

Clean production equipment. Smooth metal surfaces or edges.
#12055 · Core · 4% automatable

Sift and pack sand into mold sections, core boxes, and pattern contours, using hand or pneumatic ramming tools.

physical manipulation — Manual placement of materials into molds

Place materials into molds.
#12053 · Core · 10% automatable

Position patterns inside mold sections, and clamp sections together.

physical manipulation — Physical alignment of patterns on workpieces

Position patterns on equipment, materials, or workpieces.
#12054 · Core · 5% automatable

Position cores into lower sections of molds, and reassemble molds for pouring.

physical manipulation — Mold building is hands-on craft work

Place materials into molds. Build production molds.
#12052 · Core · 5% automatable

Sprinkle or spray parting agents onto patterns and mold sections to facilitate removal of patterns from molds.

physical manipulation — Applying parting agents is manual mold prep

Apply parting agents or other solutions to molds.
#12059 · Core · 5% automatable

Form and assemble slab cores around patterns, and position wire in mold sections to reinforce molds, using hand tools and glue.

physical manipulation — Mold building is hands-on craft work

Build production molds.
#12051 · Core · 9% automatable

Move and position workpieces, such as mold sections, patterns, and bottom boards, using cranes, or signal others to move workpieces.

physical manipulation — Rigging and lifting loads with cranes is hands-on

Lift materials or workpieces using cranes or other lifting equipment. Signal others to coordinate work activities.
#12058 · Core · 5% automatable

Lift upper mold sections from lower sections, and remove molded patterns.

physical manipulation — Removing workpieces from molds is physical

Remove workpieces from molds.
#12057 · Core · 8% automatable

Cut spouts, runner holes, and sprue holes into molds.

physical manipulation — Hands-on industrial material cutting

Cut industrial materials in preparation for fabrication or processing.
#12056 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Tend machines that bond cope and drag together to form completed shell molds.

physical manipulation — Mold building is hands-on craft work

Build production molds.
#12061 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Rotate sweep boards around spindles to make symmetrical molds for convex impressions.

physical manipulation — Mold building is hands-on craft work

Build production molds.
#12060 · Supplemental · 4% automatable

Pour molten metal into molds, manually or with crane ladles.

physical manipulation — Manual placement of materials into molds

Place materials into molds.
#12062 · Supplemental · 15% automatable

Operate ovens or furnaces to bake cores or to melt, skim, and flux metal.

physical manipulation — Physical control of heating/drying equipment

Operate heating or drying equipment.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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