Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Nannies?

Task-level automation exposure for Nannies: 19 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

31% weighted task index

19 of 19 tasks scored

Median Salary

$34,980 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Very High

518,910 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-2.0% employment change

150,300 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$22,020 – $47,340

Highest medians

District of Columbia $47,340
Washington $41,680
Massachusetts $40,900
Colorado $40,750
California $40,020

Lowest medians

Guam $22,020
Mississippi $22,050
Puerto Rico $22,600
Alabama $22,720
Louisiana $22,900

State figures come from the 39-9011 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 31%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 21%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 67%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 5%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 44/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

19 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 5%

1 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 38%

7 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 57%

11 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#2355 · Core · 25% automatable

Instruct children in safe behavior, such as seeking adult assistance when crossing the street and avoiding contact with unsafe objects.

interpersonal — Daily living skills taught in person with feedback

Teach daily living skills or behaviors.
#2368 · Core · 35% automatable

Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.

situated mobility — Physical environment safety monitoring needs on-site sensing

Monitor environment to ensure safety.
#2351 · Core · 5% automatable

Perform first aid or cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) when required.

physical manipulation — Administering first aid requires physical intervention

Administer first aid.
#2365 · Core · 40% automatable

Instruct and assist children in the development of health and personal habits, such as eating, resting, and toilet behavior.

interpersonal — Hygiene teaching is interpersonal and situational

Teach health or hygiene practices.
#2352 · Core · 55% automatable

Regulate children's rest periods and nap schedules.

decision support — Drafting schedules; family context needs human tailoring

Develop daily schedules for children or families.
#2367 · Core · 25% automatable

Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.

interpersonal — Daily living skills taught in person with feedback

Teach daily living skills or behaviors.
#2354 · Core · 5% automatable

Help prepare and serve nutritionally balanced meals and snacks for children.

physical manipulation — Hands-on meal preparation

Prepare foods or meals.
#2358 · Core · 25% automatable

Model appropriate social behaviors and encourage concern for others to cultivate development of interpersonal relationships and communication skills.

interpersonal — Daily living skills taught in person with feedback

Teach daily living skills or behaviors.
#2356 · Core · 40% automatable

Organize and conduct age-appropriate recreational activities, such as games, arts and crafts, sports, walks, and play dates.

interpersonal — Event organizing aided; logistics and presence human

Organize recreational activities or events.
#2362 · Core · 25% automatable

Assign appropriate chores and praise targeted behaviors to encourage development of self-control, self-confidence, and responsibility.

interpersonal — Daily living skills taught in person with feedback

Teach daily living skills or behaviors.
#2357 · Core · 14% automatable

Observe children's behavior for irregularities, take temperature, transport children to doctor, or administer medications, as directed, to maintain children's health.

visual inspection — Monitoring health/behavior of people or animals is on-site

Monitor health or behavior of people or animals. Drive vehicles to transport patrons. Administer basic health care or medical treatments.
#2359 · Core · 45% automatable

Work with parents to develop and implement discipline programs to promote desirable child behavior.

interpersonal — Child development discussion needs live human presence

Discuss child development and behavior with parents or guardians.
#2364 · Core · 10% automatable

Perform housekeeping and cleaning duties related to children's care.

physical manipulation — Housekeeping is physical labor in varied spaces

Perform housekeeping duties.
#2353 · Core · 45% automatable

Meet regularly with parents to discuss children's activities and development.

interpersonal — Child development discussion needs live human presence

Discuss child development and behavior with parents or guardians.
#2361 · Core · 25% automatable

Supervise and assist with homework.

interpersonal — Daily living skills taught in person with feedback

Teach daily living skills or behaviors.
#2363 · Core · 10% automatable

Transport children to schools, social outings, and medical appointments.

situated mobility — Physical escort and transportation of people

Provide escort or transportation.
#2366 · Core · 72% automatable

Keep records of play, meal schedules, and bill payment.

text generation — Maintain client records; human owns sensitive judgment

Maintain client information or service records.
#2360 · Core · 55% automatable

Help develop or monitor family schedule.

decision support — Drafting schedules; family context needs human tailoring

Develop daily schedules for children or families.
#21071 · Supplemental · 33% automatable

Shop for groceries, clothing, and other items needed for children's care.

decision support — Purchase research automatable; human authorizes spend

Provide for basic needs of children. Purchase products or services.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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