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AI Automation Index
Will AI Replace Motorcycle Mechanics?
Task-level automation exposure for Motorcycle Mechanics: 13 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.
E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh Automation Exposure
14%
weighted task index
13 of 13 tasks scored
Median Salary
$48,580 / year
BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation
Employment Level
Low
13,510 people hold this job — size, not growth
Projected 2025–35
+2.1%
employment change
1,400 openings a year · BLS line item
Pay by state
BLS OEWS publishes 45 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.
$37,450 – $62,890
Highest medians
New Hampshire $62,890
Nevada $60,450
New Jersey $59,430
Minnesota $58,280
Oregon $58,040
Lowest medians
West Virginia $37,450
Wyoming $39,520
Michigan $40,100
Illinois $41,630
Alabama $42,670
State figures come from the 49-3052 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.
What the score is made of
Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.
Automation potential 14%
Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.
Physical work 83%
Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.
Judgment & influence 0%
Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.
Routine administration 0%
Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.
Rewritten by O*NET 0%
Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.
Consequence of error 84/100
High
O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.
Constituent Task Mix
13 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.
High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 0%
0 tasks
Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 9%
1 tasks
Low exposure (below 35%) 91%
12 tasks
How would you survive?
Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.
Simulate Upskilling →Emerging & rewritten tasks
Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.
- New 08/2021 · Incumbent
Diagnose electrical problems.
Constituent Tasks
#20651 · Core · 15% automatable
Mount, balance, change, or check condition or pressure of tires.
visual inspection — Overall vehicle condition inspection is physical
Inspect vehicles to determine overall condition. Adjust vehicle components according to specifications.
#8353 · Core · 9% automatable
Replace defective parts, using hand tools, arbor presses, flexible power presses, or power tools.
physical manipulation — Manual replacement of mechanical parts
Replace worn, damaged, or defective mechanical parts. Repair non-engine automotive or vehicle components.
#8357 · Core · 9% automatable
Dismantle engines and repair or replace defective parts, such as magnetos, carburetors, or generators.
physical manipulation — Manual replacement of mechanical parts
Disassemble equipment for maintenance or repair. Replace worn, damaged, or defective mechanical parts. Repair defective engines or engine components.
#8354 · Core · 32% automatable
Connect test panels to engines and measure generator output, ignition timing, or other engine performance indicators.
physical manipulation — Requires physical gauges and instrument reading
Measure equipment outputs.
#8355 · Core · 43% automatable
Listen to engines, examine vehicle frames, or confer with customers to determine nature and extent of malfunction or damage.
interpersonal — Assessing customer problems needs live diagnostic dialogue
Observe equipment in operation to detect potential problems. Confer with customers or users to assess problems.
#8359 · Core · 9% automatable
Repair or replace other parts, such as headlights, horns, handlebar controls, gasoline or oil tanks, starters, or mufflers.
physical manipulation — Manual replacement of mechanical parts
Replace worn, damaged, or defective mechanical parts. Repair non-engine automotive or vehicle components.
#8360 · Core · 8% automatable
Disassemble subassembly units and examine condition, movement, or alignment of parts, visually or using gauges.
physical manipulation — Physical disassembly for inspection is manual work
Disassemble equipment to inspect for deficiencies.
#8352 · Core · 9% automatable
Repair or adjust motorcycle subassemblies, such as forks, transmissions, brakes, or drive chains, according to specifications.
physical manipulation — Hands-on vehicle component adjustment
Adjust vehicle components according to specifications. Repair non-engine automotive or vehicle components.
#20652 · Core · 5% automatable
Reassemble frames and reinstall engines after repairs.
physical manipulation — Reassembly after repair requires hands-on fitting
Reassemble equipment after repair. Install vehicle parts or accessories.
#8358 · Core · 10% automatable
Remove cylinder heads and grind valves to scrape off carbon and replace defective valves, pistons, cylinders, or rings, using hand and power tools.
physical manipulation — Precision grinding requires hands-on machine control
Grind parts to required dimensions. Replace worn, damaged, or defective mechanical parts.
#23934 · Core · 5% automatable
Install motorcycle accessories.
physical manipulation — Installing parts requires hands-on mechanical work
Install parts, assemblies, or attachments in transportation or material handling equipment. Install vehicle parts or accessories.
#8356 · Core · 16% automatable
Reassemble and test subassembly units.
physical manipulation — Hands-on mechanical testing in physical environment
Test mechanical equipment to ensure proper functioning. Assemble mechanical components or machine parts.
#20653 · Supplemental · 7% automatable
Hammer out dents and bends in frames and weld tears and breaks.
physical manipulation — Manual dent removal with tools on varied surfaces
Remove dents from equipment, materials, tools or structures. Operate welding equipment.
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How this was scored
- 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
- 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
- 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
- 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.
Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.
Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast
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