Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?

Task-level automation exposure for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers: 30 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

36% weighted task index

30 of 30 tasks scored

Median Salary

$93,530 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

99,140 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+3.7% employment change

6,600 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 52 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$48,250 – $133,210

Highest medians

New Jersey $133,210
New York $132,520
Washington $129,350
California $127,630
District of Columbia $126,560

Lowest medians

Mississippi $48,250
Puerto Rico $48,640
West Virginia $55,380
New Mexico $58,430
North Carolina $59,560

State figures come from the 33-1021 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 36%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 21%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 52%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 13%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 88/100 High

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

30 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 17%

5 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 32%

10 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 51%

15 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 05/2025 · AI/SME

    Deploy and monitor drones for aerial surveillance and assessment of fire situations.

  • New 08/2026 · Incumbent

    Prepare and review budgets to ensure spending meets budget constraints.

Constituent Tasks

#22911 · Core · 4% automatable

Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.

physical manipulation — Administering first aid requires physical intervention

Rescue people from hazardous situations. Administer first aid.
#22916 · Core · 15% automatable

Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use.

visual inspection — Hands-on safety inspection of physical equipment

Inspect equipment to ensure safety or proper functioning. Maintain fire fighting tools or equipment.
#22910 · Core · 35% automatable

Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents.

interpersonal — Emergency request requires live accountable action

Request emergency personnel. Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22913 · Core · 50% automatable

Communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios.

interpersonal — Live radio relay of incidents is real-time human

Relay information about incidents or emergencies to personnel using phones or two-way radios.
#22914 · Core · 12% automatable

Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.

physical manipulation — Firefighting direction is physical, live, high-stakes command

Operate firefighting equipment. Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22936 · Core · 20% automatable

Evaluate size, location, and condition of fires.

visual inspection — Assessing fire characteristics requires physical presence

Assess characteristics of fires.
#22915 · Core · 42% automatable

Instruct and drill fire department personnel in assigned duties, including firefighting, medical care, hazardous materials response, fire prevention, and related subjects.

interpersonal — Live instruction and hands-on coaching require human presence

Train employees in proper work procedures.
#22939 · Core · 43% automatable

Recruit or hire firefighting personnel.

interpersonal — AI drafts outreach; human builds candidate relationships

Hire personnel. Recruit personnel.
#22912 · Core · 20% automatable

Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements.

visual inspection — Assessing fire characteristics requires physical presence

Assess characteristics of fires.
#22921 · Core · 15% automatable

Monitor fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable.

physical manipulation — Firefighting direction is physical, live, high-stakes command

Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22918 · Core · 33% automatable

Direct the training of firefighters, assigning of instructors to training classes, and providing of supervisors with reports on training progress and status.

interpersonal — Directing training programs needs human leadership

Direct employee training programs.
#22919 · Core · 10% automatable

Perform maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment, including vehicles, and write and submit proposals to modify, replace, and repair equipment.

physical manipulation — Hands-on firefighting equipment maintenance

Maintain fire fighting tools or equipment.
#22917 · Core · 55% automatable

Evaluate the performance of assigned firefighting personnel.

decision support — Performance review aided; accountability and context human

Evaluate employee performance.
#22929 · Core · 79% automatable

Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records. Write operational reports.
#22928 · Core · 15% automatable

Recommend personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures, performance, leaves of absence, and grievances.

physical manipulation — Firefighting direction is physical, live, high-stakes command

Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22927 · Core · 13% automatable

Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.

physical manipulation — Firefighting direction is physical, live, high-stakes command

Maintain fire fighting tools or equipment. Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22926 · Core · 45% automatable

Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations.

decision support — Conformance checking aided by AI, but on-site verification is human

Monitor operational procedures in technical environments to ensure conformance to standards.
#22937 · Core · 70% automatable

Maintain knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.

information retrieval — AI supports study; certification requires human

Maintain professional knowledge or certifications.
#22925 · Core · 21% automatable

Inspect stations, uniforms, equipment, or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards, taking corrective action as necessary.

visual inspection — Security/safety walkthrough requires physical presence

Inspect facilities to ensure compliance with security or safety regulations. Inspect equipment to ensure safety or proper functioning.
#22933 · Core · 20% automatable

Inspect and test new and existing fire protection systems, fire detection systems, and fire safety equipment to ensure that they are operating properly.

visual inspection — Hands-on safety inspection of physical equipment

Inspect equipment to ensure safety or proper functioning.
#22931 · Core · 60% automatable

Recommend equipment modifications or new equipment purchases.

decision support — Safety recommendations drafted; site verification human

Recommend improvements to increase safety or reduce risks.
#22930 · Core · 54% automatable

Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings.

text generation — Draft operational reports; human tailors and signs off

Write operational reports. Direct criminal investigations.
#22923 · Core · 80% automatable

Maintain required maps and records.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records.
#22920 · Core · 78% automatable

Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.

decision support — Routine schedule generation from stated constraints

Prepare activity or work schedules.
#22922 · Core · 55% automatable

Participate in creating fire safety guidelines and evacuation schemes for nonresidential buildings.

text generation — Fire plans drafted; code compliance and site review human

Develop fire safety or prevention programs or plans.
#22924 · Supplemental · 10% automatable

Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.

situated mobility — Driving vehicles to transport people/equipment

Drive vehicles to transport individuals or equipment.
#22935 · Supplemental · 32% automatable

Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.

text generation — Generate operational reports from structured data

Locate fires or fire danger areas. Monitor environmental conditions to detect hazards. Assess characteristics of fires. Perform forest firefighting activities. Prepare operational reports.
#22932 · Supplemental · 19% automatable

Supervise and participate in the inspection of properties to ensure that they are in compliance with applicable fire codes, ordinances, laws, regulations, and standards.

visual inspection — Physical fire-code walkthrough requires presence and judgment

Inspect facilities to ensure compliance with fire regulations. Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22938 · Supplemental · 40% automatable

Plan, direct, and supervise prescribed burn projects.

text generation — Relaying situation details is structured communication

Develop fire safety or prevention programs or plans. Communicate situation details to appropriate personnel. Supervise employees. Direct fire fighting or prevention activities.
#22934 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances.

decision support — Procedures drafted; human validates feasibility

Determine operational procedures. Develop fire safety or prevention programs or plans.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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