Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Correctional Officers and Jailers?

Task-level automation exposure for Correctional Officers and Jailers: 27 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

29% weighted task index

27 of 27 tasks scored

Median Salary

$58,940 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Very High

380,500 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-7.4% employment change

28,400 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 50 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$36,030 – $96,370

Highest medians

California $96,370
New Jersey $94,770
Massachusetts $86,310
Oregon $83,690
Washington $79,460

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $36,030
Mississippi $38,720
Louisiana $39,850
Arkansas $40,330
Kentucky $42,310

State figures come from the 33-3012 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 29%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 26%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 25%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 11%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 41/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

27 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 18%

5 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 14%

4 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 68%

18 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 08/2023 · Incumbent

    Conduct security checks of the premises.

Constituent Tasks

#15252 · Core · 25% automatable

Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.

physical manipulation — Physical counting of bodies in a facility

Count prison inmates or personnel.
#15254 · Core · 20% automatable

Inspect conditions of locks, window bars, grills, doors, and gates at correctional facilities to ensure security and help prevent escapes.

visual inspection — Hands-on safety inspection of physical equipment

Inspect equipment to ensure safety or proper functioning.
#15253 · Core · 35% automatable

Monitor conduct of prisoners in housing unit, or during work or recreational activities, according to established policies, regulations, and procedures, to prevent escape or violence.

visual inspection — AI can watch camera feeds; human maintains physical surveillance

Maintain surveillance of individuals or establishments.
#15256 · Core · 15% automatable

Search prisoners and vehicles and conduct shakedowns of cells for valuables and contraband, such as weapons or drugs.

visual inspection — Spotting suspicious objects needs physical visual search

Locate suspicious objects or vehicles. Search individuals for illegal or dangerous items.
#2102 · Core · 8% automatable

Guard facility entrances to screen visitors.

situated mobility — Physical guarding of facilities

Guard facilities.
#15255 · Core · 62% automatable

Record information, such as prisoner identification, charges, and incidents of inmate disturbance, keeping daily logs of prisoner activities.

text generation — Suspect records drafted; human verifies and owns

Record information about suspects or criminals.
#2104 · Core · 20% automatable

Inspect mail for the presence of contraband.

visual inspection — Cargo hazard inspection requires on-site presence

Inspect cargo to identify potential hazards.
#2117 · Core · 62% automatable

Maintain records of prisoners' identification and charges.

text generation — Suspect records drafted; human verifies and owns

Record information about suspects or criminals.
#2107 · Core · 3% automatable

Use weapons, handcuffs, and physical force to maintain discipline and order among prisoners.

physical manipulation — Physical force and weapons in unpredictable confrontations

Use weapons or physical force to maintain security.
#15261 · Core · 33% automatable

Use nondisciplinary tools and equipment, such as a computer.

physical manipulation — Operating systems requires hands-on interaction

Operate computers or computerized equipment. Operate computer systems.
#2108 · Core · 21% automatable

Conduct fire, safety, and sanitation inspections.

visual inspection — Physical fire-code walkthrough requires presence and judgment

Inspect facilities to ensure compliance with fire regulations. Inspect facilities to ensure compliance with security or safety regulations. Inspect facilities for cleanliness.
#2105 · Core · 3% automatable

Take prisoners into custody and escort to locations within and outside of facility, such as visiting room, courtroom, or airport.

situated mobility — Physical custody and escort of prisoners

Escort prisoners to courtrooms, prisons, or other facilities.
#15258 · Core · 20% automatable

Participate in required job training.

interpersonal — Attending training is a physical, human presence act

Attend training to learn new skills or update knowledge.
#15259 · Core · 5% automatable

Serve meals, distribute commissary items, and dispense prescribed medication to prisoners.

physical manipulation — Administering meds/injections requires hands-on clinical action

Serve food or beverages. Give medications or immunizations.
#2110 · Core · 25% automatable

Settle disputes between inmates.

interpersonal — Live conflict resolution needs presence and trust

Resolve interpersonal conflicts.
#2109 · Core · 40% automatable

Provide to supervisors oral and written reports of the quality and quantity of work performed by inmates, inmate disturbances and rule violations, and unusual occurrences.

interpersonal — Performance and complaint discussions carry accountability

Discuss performance, complaints, or violations with supervisors.
#2111 · Core · 10% automatable

Drive passenger vehicles and trucks used to transport inmates to other institutions, courtrooms, hospitals, and work sites.

situated mobility — Driving vehicles to transport people/equipment

Drive vehicles to transport individuals or equipment.
#15260 · Core · 28% automatable

Counsel inmates and respond to legitimate questions, concerns, and requests.

interpersonal — Interpersonal counseling needs human relationship

Provide counsel, comfort, or encouragement to individuals or families. Counsel clients regarding interpersonal issues.
#2113 · Core · 20% automatable

Assign duties to inmates, providing instructions as needed.

interpersonal — Inmate supervision is physical, situated, accountability-bearing

Supervise inmate activities.
#2114 · Core · 70% automatable

Issue clothing, tools, and other authorized items to inmates.

data analysis — Materials inventory records and forecasting automatable

Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products.
#2112 · Core · 78% automatable

Arrange daily schedules for prisoners, including library visits, work assignments, family visits, and counseling appointments.

decision support — Routine schedule generation from stated constraints

Prepare activity or work schedules.
#2103 · Supplemental · 3% automatable

Search for and recapture escapees.

physical manipulation — Physically apprehending suspects

Apprehend criminal suspects.
#15257 · Supplemental · 62% automatable

Process or book convicted individuals into prison.

text generation — Suspect records drafted; human verifies and owns

Record information about suspects or criminals.
#2118 · Supplemental · 20% automatable

Supervise and coordinate work of other correctional service officers.

interpersonal — Correctional facility direction is high-stakes human authority

Direct operations of correctional facilities.
#23976 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Take fingerprints of arrestees, prisoners, or the general public.

interpersonal — Client info gathering needs human relationship and trust

Collect information about clients.
#2116 · Supplemental · 35% automatable

Investigate crimes that have occurred within an institution, or assist police in their investigations of crimes and inmates.

decision support — AI aids analysis, investigation is human-led

Investigate crimes committed within organizations.
#2119 · Supplemental · 20% automatable

Sponsor inmate recreational activities, such as newspapers and self-help groups.

interpersonal — Inmate supervision is physical, situated, accountability-bearing

Supervise inmate activities.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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