Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

Task-level automation exposure for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers: 23 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

36% weighted task index

23 of 23 tasks scored

Median Salary

$77,970 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

53,380 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-2.5% employment change

3,700 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 49 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$46,840 – $131,210

Highest medians

California $131,210
New Jersey $117,450
Utah $110,410
Nevada $107,260
Massachusetts $105,930

Lowest medians

Missouri $46,840
Arkansas $49,590
Florida $55,620
Oklahoma $56,100
Mississippi $56,470

State figures come from the 33-1011 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 36%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 18%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 60%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 5%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 30/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

23 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 23%

5 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 21%

5 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 57%

13 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#9428 · Core · 25% automatable

Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts.

physical manipulation — Physical counting of bodies in a facility

Count prison inmates or personnel.
#9429 · Core · 3% automatable

Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.

physical manipulation — Physical force and weapons in unpredictable confrontations

Use weapons or physical force to maintain security.
#9431 · Core · 70% automatable

Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations.

information retrieval — AI supports study; certification requires human

Maintain professional knowledge or certifications.
#9430 · Core · 10% automatable

Respond to emergencies, such as escapes.

situated mobility — Emergency response needs physical action in the world

Respond to emergencies to provide assistance.
#9432 · Core · 20% automatable

Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.

interpersonal — Correctional facility direction is high-stakes human authority

Direct operations of correctional facilities.
#9434 · Core · 15% automatable

Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.

visual inspection — Spotting suspicious objects needs physical visual search

Locate suspicious objects or vehicles. Search individuals for illegal or dangerous items.
#9435 · Core · 55% automatable

Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public.

decision support — Performance review aided; accountability and context human

Evaluate employee performance.
#9433 · Core · 3% automatable

Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.

physical manipulation — Physical force and weapons in unpredictable confrontations

Use weapons or physical force to maintain security.
#9440 · Core · 4% automatable

Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary.

physical manipulation — Administering first aid requires physical intervention

Rescue people from hazardous situations. Administer first aid.
#9436 · Core · 79% automatable

Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records. Write operational reports.
#9439 · Core · 20% automatable

Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.

interpersonal — Correctional facility direction is high-stakes human authority

Direct operations of correctional facilities.
#9438 · Core · 25% automatable

Conduct roll calls of correctional officers.

physical manipulation — Physical counting of bodies in a facility

Count prison inmates or personnel.
#9437 · Core · 42% automatable

Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training.

interpersonal — Live instruction and hands-on coaching require human presence

Train employees in proper work procedures.
#9444 · Core · 25% automatable

Resolve problems between inmates.

interpersonal — Live conflict resolution needs presence and trust

Resolve interpersonal conflicts.
#9443 · Core · 78% automatable

Set up employee work schedules.

decision support — Routine schedule generation from stated constraints

Prepare activity or work schedules.
#9448 · Core · 80% automatable

Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations.

text generation — Policy compliance document review, human owns final call

Review documents or materials for compliance with policies or regulations.
#9447 · Core · 7% automatable

Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses.

situated mobility — Driving vehicles to transport people/equipment

Escort prisoners to courtrooms, prisons, or other facilities. Drive vehicles to transport individuals or equipment.
#20255 · Core · 82% automatable

Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention.

text generation — Reading and deriving actions from text is core LLM

Read materials to determine needed actions.
#9442 · Core · 55% automatable

Develop work or security procedures.

decision support — Procedures drafted; human validates feasibility

Determine operational procedures.
#9449 · Core · 40% automatable

Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors.

interpersonal — Performance and complaint discussions carry accountability

Discuss performance, complaints, or violations with supervisors.
#9441 · Core · 20% automatable

Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations.

interpersonal — Inmate supervision is physical, situated, accountability-bearing

Supervise inmate activities.
#21196 · Core · 55% automatable

Conduct evaluations of employees' performance.

decision support — Performance review aided; accountability and context human

Evaluate employee performance.
#9446 · Core · 20% automatable

Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings.

interpersonal — Inmate supervision is physical, situated, accountability-bearing

Supervise inmate activities.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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