Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education?

Task-level automation exposure for Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education: 38 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

50% weighted task index

38 of 38 tasks scored

Median Salary

$63,970 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Very High

1,388,390 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-0.4% employment change

87,500 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$48,200 – $102,350

Highest medians

Washington $102,350
California $99,650
District of Columbia $96,580
Massachusetts $94,000
Rhode Island $90,930

Lowest medians

Oklahoma $48,200
Mississippi $49,790
South Dakota $50,130
Missouri $50,910
Puerto Rico $51,540

State figures come from the 25-2021 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 50%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 8%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 60%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 14%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 3/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

38 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 34%

12 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 45%

18 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 21%

8 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#6540 · Core · 45% automatable

Instruct students individually and in groups, using teaching methods such as lectures, discussions, and demonstrations.

interpersonal — Selecting and applying methods to real learners is human

Apply multiple teaching methods.
#6535 · Core · 50% automatable

Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among the students.

interpersonal — Rules need school culture and accountability judgment

Establish rules or policies governing student behavior.
#6549 · Core · 60% automatable

Guide and counsel students with adjustment or academic problems or with special academic interests.

interpersonal — Career guidance drafted; mentor relationship human

Advise students on academic or career matters.
#6538 · Core · 55% automatable

Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests.

interpersonal — Accommodation requires knowing the student

Modify teaching methods or materials to accommodate student needs.
#6539 · Core · 62% automatable

Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.

text generation — Drafts activity plans; educator adapts to learners

Plan educational activities.
#6537 · Core · 15% automatable

Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.

physical manipulation — Setting up classroom materials is physical arrangement

Set up classroom materials or equipment.
#6543 · Core · 70% automatable

Read books to entire classes or small groups.

text generation — Reading aloud can be automated; classroom management human

Read to students.
#6536 · Core · 54% automatable

Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and physical health.

decision support — Grading aided; rubric judgment and accountability human

Monitor student performance. Monitor student behavior, social development, or health. Evaluate student work.
#6545 · Core · 48% automatable

Confer with parents or guardians, teachers, counselors, and administrators to resolve students' behavioral and academic problems.

interpersonal — Progress discussions need relationship and judgment

Discuss problems or issues with supervisors. Discuss student progress with parents or guardians.
#6546 · Core · 50% automatable

Meet with parents and guardians to discuss their children's progress and to determine priorities for their children and their resource needs.

interpersonal — Progress discussions need relationship and judgment

Discuss student progress with parents or guardians.
#6556 · Core · 72% automatable

Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.

text generation — Generate learning content; human owns pedagogy

Create technology-based learning materials.
#6555 · Core · 45% automatable

Meet with other professionals to discuss individual students' needs and progress.

interpersonal — Problem discussion with supervisors is relational

Discuss problems or issues with supervisors.
#6541 · Core · 72% automatable

Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.

text generation — Drafts instructional objectives; educator refines and validates

Develop instructional objectives.
#6550 · Core · 45% automatable

Prepare and implement remedial programs for students requiring extra help.

decision support — AI suggests strategies; individualized special-needs judgment human

Develop strategies or programs for students with special needs.
#6542 · Core · 63% automatable

Assign and grade class work and homework.

decision support — Grading aided; rubric judgment and accountability human

Evaluate student work. Assign class work to students.
#6544 · Core · 65% automatable

Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.

text generation — Item writing from specs, human reviews validity

Administer tests to assess educational needs or progress. Prepare tests. Evaluate student work.
#6548 · Core · 22% automatable

Prepare students for later grades by encouraging them to explore learning opportunities and to persevere with challenging tasks.

interpersonal — Genuine student encouragement is relational and human

Encourage students.
#6547 · Core · 78% automatable

Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.

data analysis — Maintain structured student records in databases

Maintain student records.
#6553 · Core · 32% automatable

Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.

interpersonal — Enforcing behavior requires in-person authority and judgment

Enforce rules or policies governing student behavior.
#6561 · Core · 62% automatable

Organize and lead activities designed to promote physical, mental, and social development, such as games, arts and crafts, music, and storytelling.

text generation — Drafts activity plans; educator adapts to learners

Plan educational activities.
#6552 · Core · 15% automatable

Provide a variety of materials and resources for children to explore, manipulate, and use, both in learning activities and in imaginative play.

physical manipulation — Setting up classroom materials is physical arrangement

Set up classroom materials or equipment.
#6551 · Core · 72% automatable

Prepare objectives and outlines for courses of study, following curriculum guidelines or requirements of states and schools.

text generation — Drafts instructional objectives; educator refines and validates

Develop instructional objectives.
#6557 · Core · 71% automatable

Prepare for assigned classes and show written evidence of preparation upon request of immediate supervisors.

text generation — Draft lesson plans from curriculum inputs

Plan educational activities. Document lesson plans.
#6560 · Core · 54% automatable

Instruct and monitor students in the use and care of equipment and materials to prevent injuries and damage.

data analysis — AI grades and tracks metrics; human interprets holistically

Monitor student performance. Teach others to use technology or equipment.
#6554 · Core · 50% automatable

Confer with other staff members to plan and schedule lessons promoting learning, following approved curricula.

interpersonal — Curriculum collaboration is professional consensus work

Collaborate with other teaching professionals to develop educational programs.
#6558 · Core · 50% automatable

Collaborate with other teachers and administrators in the development, evaluation, and revision of elementary school programs.

interpersonal — Curriculum collaboration is professional consensus work

Collaborate with other teaching professionals to develop educational programs.
#6562 · Core · 18% automatable

Attend professional meetings, educational conferences, and teacher training workshops to maintain and improve professional competence.

interpersonal — Attending meetings requires physical human presence

Attend training sessions or professional meetings to develop or maintain professional knowledge.
#6566 · Core · 45% automatable

Administer standardized ability and achievement tests, and interpret results to determine student strengths and needs.

interpersonal — Test administration requires proctoring and live interaction

Administer tests to assess educational needs or progress.
#6563 · Core · 55% automatable

Plan and supervise class projects, field trips, visits by guest speakers or other experiential activities, and guide students in learning from those activities.

decision support — Plans activities on paper; facilitation and context human

Plan experiential learning activities.
#6559 · Core · 82% automatable

Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.

text generation — Draft student activity/performance reports from records

Prepare reports detailing student activities or performance.
#6567 · Core · 44% automatable

Supervise, evaluate, and plan assignments for teacher assistants and volunteers.

decision support — Staff evaluation needs observation and accountability

Evaluate performance of educational staff. Supervise student research or internship work.
#6564 · Core · 20% automatable

Organize and label materials and display students' work.

physical manipulation — Displaying student work is physical placement

Display student work.
#6569 · Core · 30% automatable

Perform administrative duties, such as school library assistance, hall and cafeteria monitoring, and bus loading and unloading.

interpersonal — Live supervision of students is inherently human presence

Supervise school or student activities.
#6565 · Core · 35% automatable

Attend staff meetings and serve on committees, as required.

interpersonal — Committee service requires presence, negotiation, accountability

Serve on institutional or departmental committees.
#6570 · Core · 57% automatable

Select, store, order, issue, and inventory classroom equipment, materials, and supplies.

decision support — Routine ordering automatable; human approves purchases

Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products. Distribute instructional or library materials. Order instructional or library materials or equipment.
#6568 · Core · 50% automatable

Involve parent volunteers and older students in children's activities to facilitate involvement in focused, complex play.

text generation — Outreach content and scheduling largely automatable

Manage outreach activities.
#6571 · Supplemental · 22% automatable

Provide students with disabilities with assistive devices, supportive technology, and assistance accessing facilities, such as restrooms.

interpersonal — In-person special-needs teaching and supervision

Assist students with special educational needs.
#6572 · Supplemental · 35% automatable

Sponsor extracurricular activities, such as clubs, student organizations, and academic contests.

interpersonal — Extracurricular coordination needs on-site human supervision

Coordinate student extracurricular activities.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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