Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Budget Analysts?

Task-level automation exposure for Budget Analysts: 13 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Automation Exposure

68% weighted task index

13 of 13 tasks scored

Median Salary

$91,640 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

47,160 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+1.9% employment change

2,900 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$50,560 – $124,590

Highest medians

District of Columbia $124,590
Maryland $106,020
Virginia $105,470
California $99,520
Alabama $99,490

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $50,560
Virgin Islands $64,990
Guam $67,200
Arkansas $71,800
Kentucky $76,860

State figures come from the 13-2031 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 68%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 73%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 16%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 20/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

13 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 71%

9 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 24%

3 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 5%

1 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 08/2024 · Incumbent

    Communicate financial reports and budgets to stakeholders.

  • New 08/2024 · Incumbent

    Submit and monitor salary raises.

Constituent Tasks

#3394 · Core · 82% automatable

Analyze monthly department budgeting and accounting reports to maintain expenditure controls.

data analysis — Budgetary/accounting analysis is routine quantitative work

Analyze budgetary or accounting data.
#3398 · Core · 55% automatable

Provide advice and technical assistance with cost analysis, fiscal allocation, and budget preparation.

decision support — AI drafts financial guidance; accountability and tailoring human

Advise others on financial matters.
#3401 · Core · 82% automatable

Review operating budgets to analyze trends affecting budget needs.

data analysis — Budgetary/accounting analysis is routine quantitative work

Analyze budgetary or accounting data.
#3405 · Core · 77% automatable

Compile and analyze accounting records and other data to determine the financial resources required to implement a program.

data analysis — Budgetary/accounting analysis is routine quantitative work

Gather financial records. Analyze budgetary or accounting data.
#3402 · Core · 83% automatable

Examine budget estimates for completeness, accuracy, and conformance with procedures and regulations.

data analysis — Financial accuracy checks, human reviews exceptions

Verify accuracy of financial information.
#3399 · Core · 67% automatable

Summarize budgets and submit recommendations for the approval or disapproval of funds requests.

data analysis — Reports and budgets drafted; human owns assumptions

Prepare financial documents, reports, or budgets. Advise others on financial matters.
#3396 · Core · 45% automatable

Consult with managers to ensure that budget adjustments are made in accordance with program changes.

interpersonal — Strategy discussion with managers is accountable judgment

Discuss business strategies, practices, or policies with managers.
#3395 · Core · 78% automatable

Direct the preparation of regular and special budget reports.

data analysis — Reports and budgets drafted; human owns assumptions

Prepare financial documents, reports, or budgets.
#3404 · Core · 55% automatable

Interpret budget directives and establish policies for carrying out directives.

decision support — AI drafts guidelines; authority and context are human

Establish organizational guidelines or policies.
#3403 · Core · 80% automatable

Perform cost-benefit analyses to compare operating programs, review financial requests, or explore alternative financing methods.

data analysis — Analyzes structured financial data with tools

Analyze business or financial data.
#3397 · Core · 80% automatable

Match appropriations for specific programs with appropriations for broader programs, including items for emergency funds.

data analysis — Analyzes structured financial data with tools

Analyze business or financial data.
#3400 · Core · 72% automatable

Seek new ways to improve efficiency and increase profits.

data analysis — AI analyzes operations to flag efficiency gains

Identify opportunities to improve operational efficiency.
#3406 · Supplemental · 15% automatable

Testify before examining and fund-granting authorities, clarifying and promoting the proposed budgets.

interpersonal — Testimony carries legal accountability and live presence

Testify at legal or legislative proceedings.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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