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AI Automation Index
Will AI Replace Project Management Specialists?
Task-level automation exposure for Project Management Specialists: 20 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.
E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh Automation Exposure
56%
weighted task index
20 of 20 tasks scored
Median Salary
$102,320 / year
BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation
Employment Level
Very High
1,066,670 people hold this job — size, not growth
Projected 2025–35
+6.7%
employment change
76,500 openings a year · BLS line item
Pay by state
BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.
$65,800 – $124,160
Highest medians
Washington $124,160
New Jersey $122,980
Delaware $122,190
New York $121,040
California $120,910
Lowest medians
Puerto Rico $65,800
Guam $67,370
Virgin Islands $75,240
Arkansas $77,170
Hawaii $78,000
State figures come from the 13-1082 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.
What the score is made of
Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.
Automation potential 56%
Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.
Physical work 0%
Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.
Judgment & influence 40%
Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.
Routine administration 14%
Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.
Rewritten by O*NET 0%
Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.
Consequence of error 9/100
Low
O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.
Constituent Task Mix
20 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.
High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 50%
10 tasks
Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 45%
9 tasks
Low exposure (below 35%) 5%
1 tasks
How would you survive?
Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.
Simulate Upskilling →Constituent Tasks
#21463 · Core · 45% automatable
Communicate with key stakeholders to determine project requirements and objectives.
interpersonal — Strategy discussion with managers is accountable judgment
Discuss business strategies, practices, or policies with managers.
#21467 · Core · 55% automatable
Identify project needs such as resources, staff, or finances by reviewing project objectives and schedules.
decision support — Resource selection needs situational judgment
Select resources needed to accomplish tasks.
#21481 · Core · 40% automatable
Submit project deliverables to clients, ensuring adherence to quality standards.
interpersonal — Client approval requires live persuasion and accountability
Present work to clients for approval.
#21464 · Core · 62% automatable
Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems.
decision support — IT troubleshooting collaboration well-supported by AI
Collaborate with others to resolve information technology issues.
#21473 · Core · 40% automatable
Plan, schedule, or coordinate project activities to meet deadlines.
decision support — AI drafts strategies; human owns operational judgment
Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures. Manage construction activities.
#21479 · Core · 72% automatable
Request and review project updates to ensure deadlines are met.
data analysis — Gather performance info, human validates sources
Gather organizational performance information.
#21470 · Core · 42% automatable
Monitor project milestones and deliverables.
decision support — AI plans projects; human owns execution and stakeholders
Manage information technology projects or system activities. Manage operations, research, or logistics projects.
#21462 · Core · 68% automatable
Assign duties or responsibilities to project personnel.
decision support — Assignments drafted; accountability and negotiation human
Assign duties or work schedules to employees.
#21465 · Core · 72% automatable
Create project status presentations for delivery to customers or project personnel.
text generation — Reports drafted; presentations need human delivery
Prepare scientific or technical reports or presentations.
#21475 · Core · 80% automatable
Produce and distribute project documents.
text generation — Prepare operational reports from data
Prepare operational reports or records.
#21472 · Core · 50% automatable
Negotiate with project stakeholders or suppliers to obtain resources or materials.
decision support — Procurement coordination needs vendor judgment and authority
Coordinate resource procurement activities.
#21469 · Core · 70% automatable
Monitor costs incurred by project staff to identify budget issues.
data analysis — Cash flow tracking is digital and analyzable
Monitor flow of cash or other resources.
#21477 · Core · 35% automatable
Recruit or hire project personnel.
decision support — Human owns staffing judgment and accountability
Participate in staffing decisions.
#21471 · Core · 32% automatable
Monitor the performance of project team members to provide performance feedback.
interpersonal — IT staff supervision needs human judgment and accountability
Supervise information technology personnel.
#21466 · Core · 65% automatable
Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing.
text generation — Project plans drafted; scope and risk owned by humans
Develop detailed project plans.
#21478 · Core · 72% automatable
Report project status, such as budget, resources, technical issues, or customer satisfaction, to managers.
text generation — AI drafts reports to managers; human sends
Report information to managers or other personnel.
#21476 · Core · 65% automatable
Propose, review, or approve modifications to project plans.
text generation — Project plans drafted; scope and risk owned by humans
Develop detailed project plans.
#21468 · Core · 35% automatable
Identify, review, or select vendors or consultants to meet project needs.
decision support — Human owns staffing judgment and accountability
Participate in staffing decisions.
#21480 · Core · 38% automatable
Schedule or facilitate project meetings.
interpersonal — IT project management is partly AI-assisted but human-owned
Manage information technology projects or system activities.
#21474 · Core · 78% automatable
Prepare and submit budget estimates, progress reports, or cost tracking reports.
data analysis — Reports and budgets drafted; human owns assumptions
Prepare financial documents, reports, or budgets.
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How this was scored
- 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
- 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
- 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
- 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.
Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.
Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast
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