Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers?

Task-level automation exposure for Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers: 30 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

50% weighted task index

30 of 30 tasks scored

Median Salary

$107,230 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

High

221,180 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+6.1% employment change

18,300 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$56,390 – $145,000

Highest medians

Delaware $145,000
Washington $136,500
Colorado $132,610
District of Columbia $132,180
New Jersey $130,610

Lowest medians

Virgin Islands $56,390
Guam $83,360
Puerto Rico $83,560
Mississippi $85,770
Arkansas $89,200

State figures come from the 11-3071 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 50%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 61%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 6%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 3/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

30 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 35%

11 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 53%

16 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 13%

3 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 05/2025 · AI/SME

    Direct the use of drones and autonomous vehicles for efficient and cost-effective delivery of goods and inventory management.

Constituent Tasks

#21340 · Core · 30% automatable

Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials.

interpersonal — Employee supervision is accountability-bearing human work

Supervise employees.
#21341 · Core · 45% automatable

Plan, develop, or implement warehouse safety and security programs and activities.

text generation — Policy drafts aided; organizational adoption human

Implement organizational process or policy changes. Develop safety standards, policies, or procedures.
#21342 · Core · 43% automatable

Inspect physical conditions of warehouses, vehicle fleets, or equipment and order testing, maintenance, repairs, or replacements.

decision support — Procurement drafting and comparison; human commits funds

Inspect condition or functioning of facilities or equipment. Purchase materials, equipment, or other resources.
#21343 · Core · 30% automatable

Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements.

interpersonal — Employee supervision is accountability-bearing human work

Supervise employees.
#21344 · Core · 45% automatable

Collaborate with other departments to integrate logistics with business systems or processes, such as customer sales, order management, accounting, or shipping.

interpersonal — Coordinating work through live human interaction

Confer with organizational members to accomplish work activities.
#21345 · Core · 51% automatable

Analyze all aspects of corporate logistics to determine the most cost-effective or efficient means of transporting products or supplies.

data analysis — Operational data analysis; manager owns decisions

Analyze data to inform operational decisions or activities. Implement transportation changes to reduce environmental impact.
#21346 · Core · 45% automatable

Resolve problems concerning transportation, logistics systems, imports or exports, or customer issues.

interpersonal — Complaint resolution needs authority and rapport

Resolve customer complaints or problems.
#21347 · Core · 70% automatable

Develop and document standard and emergency operating procedures for receiving, handling, storing, shipping, or salvaging products or materials.

text generation — Document organizational procedures from provided content

Develop emergency response plans or procedures. Document organizational or operational procedures.
#21348 · Core · 38% automatable

Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.

situated mobility — Live monitoring of people in physical settings

Monitor activities of individuals to ensure safety or compliance with rules.
#21349 · Core · 74% automatable

Analyze the financial impact of proposed logistics changes, such as routing, shipping modes, product volumes or mixes, or carriers.

data analysis — Efficiency analysis from records; human verifies

Analyze financial records to improve efficiency.
#21350 · Core · 62% automatable

Monitor inventory levels of products or materials in warehouses.

data analysis — System inventory monitoring automatable; physical audit human

Monitor inventories of products or materials.
#21351 · Core · 60% automatable

Establish or monitor specific supply chain-based performance measurement systems.

data analysis — Procedure conformance monitoring is largely document and data based

Monitor organizational procedures to ensure proper functioning.
#21352 · Core · 72% automatable

Prepare and manage departmental budgets.

data analysis — Budget drafting from assumptions; human validates assumptions

Prepare operational budgets.
#21353 · Core · 65% automatable

Monitor product import or export processes to ensure compliance with regulatory or legal requirements.

decision support — AI tracks regulatory compliance across documents

Monitor organizational compliance with regulations.
#21354 · Core · 62% automatable

Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes.

decision support — Drafts advice; accountability and context owned by human

Advise others on business or operational matters.
#21355 · Core · 35% automatable

Interview, select, and train warehouse and supervisory personnel.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Interview employees, customers, or others to collect information. Conduct employee training programs. Hire personnel.
#21356 · Core · 45% automatable

Advise sales and billing departments of transportation charges for customers' accounts.

interpersonal — Coordinating work through live human interaction

Confer with organizational members to accomplish work activities.
#21357 · Core · 75% automatable

Analyze expenditures and other financial information to develop plans, policies, or budgets for increasing profits or improving services.

data analysis — Analyzes records for budgeting; human sets priorities

Analyze financial records to improve budgeting or planning. Analyze financial records to improve efficiency.
#21358 · Core · 45% automatable

Confer with department heads to coordinate warehouse activities, such as production, sales, records control, or purchasing.

interpersonal — Coordinating work through live human interaction

Confer with organizational members to accomplish work activities.
#21359 · Core · 35% automatable

Implement specific customer requirements, such as internal reporting or customized transportation metrics.

interpersonal — Policy implementation requires organizational authority and change management

Implement organizational process or policy changes.
#21360 · Core · 80% automatable

Maintain metrics, reports, process documentation, customer service logs, or training or safety records.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records.
#21361 · Core · 65% automatable

Examine invoices and shipping manifests for conformity to tariff and customs regulations.

data analysis — Flags policy violations in records; human adjudicates

Examine financial records to ensure compliance with policies or regulations.
#21362 · Core · 42% automatable

Plan or implement energy saving changes to transportation services, such as reducing routes, optimizing capacities, employing alternate modes of transportation, or minimizing idling.

text generation — Strategies drafted; operational feasibility human-owned

Implement organizational process or policy changes. Implement transportation changes to reduce environmental impact. Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures for green or sustainable operations.
#21363 · Core · 55% automatable

Evaluate contractors or business partners for operational efficiency or safety or environmental performance records.

data analysis — AI analyzes performance metrics; human judges people context

Monitor performance of organizational members or partners.
#21364 · Core · 35% automatable

Negotiate with carriers, warehouse operators, or insurance company representatives for services and preferential rates.

interpersonal — Logistics contract negotiation needs mandate

Negotiate contracts for transportation, distribution, or logistics services.
#21365 · Core · 45% automatable

Develop or implement plans for facility modification or expansion, such as equipment purchase or changes in space allocation or structural design.

decision support — Layout planning aided; human owns design

Implement organizational process or policy changes. Plan facility layouts or designs.
#21366 · Core · 35% automatable

Direct inbound or outbound operations, such as transportation or warehouse activities, safety performance, and logistics quality management.

interpersonal — Directing organizational operations carries accountability

Direct organizational operations, projects, or services.
#21367 · Core · 47% automatable

Plan or implement improvements to internal or external systems or processes.

decision support — AI drafts strategies; human owns operational judgment

Implement organizational process or policy changes. Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures.
#21368 · Core · 30% automatable

Recommend or authorize capital expenditures for acquisition of new equipment or property to increase efficiency and services.

decision support — Expenditure approval is accountable human act

Approve expenditures.
#21369 · Core · 72% automatable

Review invoices, work orders, consumption reports, or demand forecasts to estimate peak performance periods and to issue work assignments.

data analysis — Forecast analysis for decisions; human decides

Analyze forecasting data to improve business decisions. Analyze data to inform operational decisions or activities.
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Community Sentiment

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Do you agree with the AI automation risk score calculated for this occupation?

Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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