Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Training and Development Managers?

Task-level automation exposure for Training and Development Managers: 12 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

54% weighted task index

12 of 12 tasks scored

Median Salary

$133,000 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

48,050 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+6.4% employment change

4,100 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 49 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$88,030 – $172,340

Highest medians

Delaware $172,340
New York $171,400
Washington $163,360
New Jersey $160,540
California $156,260

Lowest medians

Mississippi $88,030
Puerto Rico $94,310
Montana $98,950
Nevada $99,110
Arkansas $101,830

State figures come from the 11-3131 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 54%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 69%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 9%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 27%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 0/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

12 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 41%

5 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 59%

7 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 0%

0 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • Revision 08/2024 · Occupational Expert

    Confer with management or stakeholders and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.

    Replaced: Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.

  • Revision 08/2024 · Occupational Expert

    Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing data and recommendations for improvement.

    Replaced: Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement.

  • Revision 08/2024 · Occupational Expert

    Train instructors, supervisors, and other leaders in techniques and skills for training and interacting with employees.

    Replaced: Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees.

Constituent Tasks

#1015 · Core · 45% automatable

Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs.

interpersonal — Survey design aided; administration needs human respondents

Conduct opinion surveys or needs assessments.
#1009 · Core · 63% automatable Revision

Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement.

data analysis — Program metrics analysis, human owns conclusions

Evaluate program effectiveness. Evaluate training programs, instructors, or materials. Evaluate employee performance.
#1014 · Core · 40% automatable

Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Conduct employee training programs. Manage human resources activities.
#1012 · Core · 45% automatable Revision

Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.

interpersonal — Survey design aided; administration needs human respondents

Conduct opinion surveys or needs assessments. Confer with organizational members to accomplish work activities.
#1008 · Core · 45% automatable

Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Conduct employee training programs.
#1017 · Core · 45% automatable Revision

Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Conduct employee training programs.
#1013 · Core · 76% automatable

Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials.

text generation — Draft training materials; human tailors content

Prepare graphics or other visual representations of information. Develop training materials.
#1019 · Core · 72% automatable

Prepare training budget for department or organization.

data analysis — Budget drafting from assumptions; human validates assumptions

Prepare operational budgets.
#1010 · Core · 65% automatable

Develop testing and evaluation procedures.

text generation — AI drafts evaluation procedures; human adapts to org

Develop procedures to evaluate organizational activities.
#1011 · Core · 45% automatable

Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Conduct employee training programs.
#1016 · Core · 65% automatable

Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards.

decision support — AI assesses compliance against written standards

Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards. Evaluate training programs, instructors, or materials.
#1018 · Supplemental · 40% automatable

Coordinate established courses with technical and professional courses provided by community schools, and designate training procedures.

decision support — Event planning aided; execution and accountability human

Coordinate special events or programs.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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