Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Set and Exhibit Designers?

Task-level automation exposure for Set and Exhibit Designers: 27 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

47% weighted task index

27 of 27 tasks scored

Median Salary

$75,240 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

10,630 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+1.4% employment change

2,200 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 27 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$34,260 – $105,030

Highest medians

California $105,030
Maryland $80,540
Washington $77,230
District of Columbia $76,900
New Jersey $76,380

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $34,260
Arkansas $38,700
Utah $44,540
Arizona $46,280
North Carolina $49,410

State figures come from the 27-1027 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 47%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 9%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 54%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 5/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

27 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 24%

6 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 54%

13 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 23%

8 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#9289 · Core · 60% automatable

Develop set designs, based on evaluation of scripts, budgets, research information, and available locations.

text generation — Concepts generated; commercial curation human

Develop artistic or design concepts for decoration, exhibition, or commercial purposes.
#9286 · Core · 45% automatable

Prepare rough drafts and scale working drawings of sets, including floor plans, scenery, and properties to be constructed.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#9294 · Core · 54% automatable

Prepare preliminary renderings of proposed exhibits, including detailed construction, layout, and material specifications, and diagrams relating to aspects such as special effects or lighting.

decision support — Technical requirements drafted; human owns spec

Determine technical requirements of productions or projects. Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#9305 · Core · 72% automatable

Read scripts to determine location, set, and design requirements.

text generation — Script comprehension and requirement extraction well handled

Study scripts to determine project requirements.
#9293 · Core · 40% automatable

Submit plans for approval, and adapt plans to serve intended purposes, or to conform to budget or fabrication restrictions.

interpersonal — Client approval requires live persuasion and accountability

Present work to clients for approval.
#9306 · Core · 58% automatable

Attend rehearsals and production meetings to obtain and share information related to sets.

interpersonal — Ongoing production discussion requires shared human context

Discuss production content and progress with others.
#9287 · Core · 48% automatable

Confer with clients and staff to gather information about exhibit space, proposed themes and content, timelines, budgets, materials, or promotion requirements.

interpersonal — Needs elicitation requires human rapport and judgment

Confer with clients to determine needs.
#9297 · Core · 55% automatable

Research architectural and stylistic elements appropriate to the time period to be depicted, consulting experts for information, as necessary.

information retrieval — AI gathers references; creative synthesis is human

Conduct research to inform art, designs, or other work.
#9303 · Core · 20% automatable

Observe sets during rehearsals in order to ensure that set elements do not interfere with performance aspects such as cast movement and camera angles.

visual inspection — Set/exhibit inspection requires physical presence

Inspect sets or exhibits.
#9296 · Core · 55% automatable

Collaborate with those in charge of lighting and sound so that those production aspects can be coordinated with set designs or exhibit layouts.

interpersonal — Technical detail negotiation is interactive human work

Collaborate with others to determine technical details of productions.
#9300 · Core · 50% automatable

Select set props, such as furniture, pictures, lamps, and rugs.

decision support — Prop selection depends on creative and physical context

Select materials or props.
#9304 · Core · 35% automatable

Design and build scale models of set designs, or miniature sets used in filming backgrounds or special effects.

text generation — Layout concepts generated; spatial/physical fit human-checked

Design layout of art or product exhibits, displays, or promotional materials. Build models, patterns, or templates.
#9284 · Core · 60% automatable

Examine objects to be included in exhibits to plan where and how to display them.

text generation — Concepts generated; commercial curation human

Develop artistic or design concepts for decoration, exhibition, or commercial purposes.
#9302 · Core · 35% automatable

Assign staff to complete design ideas and prepare sketches, illustrations, and detailed drawings of sets, or graphics and animation.

interpersonal — Coordinating design activities is human-led collaboration

Coordinate design activities.
#9291 · Core · 20% automatable

Inspect installed exhibits for conformance to specifications and satisfactory operation of special-effects components.

visual inspection — Set/exhibit inspection requires physical presence

Inspect sets or exhibits.
#9288 · Core · 65% automatable

Estimate set- or exhibit-related costs, including materials, construction, and rental of props or locations.

data analysis — Project cost estimation from given parameters

Estimate costs for projects or productions.
#9292 · Core · 45% automatable

Plan for location-specific issues, such as space limitations, traffic flow patterns, and safety concerns.

decision support — AI aids logistics planning; on-site event execution human

Coordinate logistics for productions or events.
#9285 · Core · 70% automatable

Acquire, or arrange for acquisition of, specimens or graphics required to complete exhibits.

data analysis — Materials inventory records and forecasting automatable

Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products.
#9298 · Core · 34% automatable

Design and produce displays and materials that can be used to decorate windows, interior displays, or event locations, such as streets and fairgrounds.

text generation — Concepts generated; commercial curation human

Develop artistic or design concepts for decoration, exhibition, or commercial purposes. Construct distinctive physical objects for artistic, functional, or commercial purposes.
#9290 · Supplemental · 33% automatable

Direct and coordinate construction, erection, or decoration activities to ensure that sets or exhibits meet design, budget, and schedule requirements.

decision support — Coordination across trades needs on-site human execution

Coordinate construction or installation activities.
#9310 · Supplemental · 33% automatable

Coordinate the transportation of sets that are built off-site, and coordinate their setup at the site of use.

decision support — Coordination across trades needs on-site human execution

Coordinate construction or installation activities.
#9301 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Confer with conservators to determine how to handle an exhibit's environmental aspects, such as lighting, temperature, and humidity, so that objects will be protected and exhibits will be enhanced.

interpersonal — Technical detail negotiation is interactive human work

Collaborate with others to determine technical details of productions.
#9295 · Supplemental · 60% automatable

Select and purchase lumber and hardware necessary for set construction.

data analysis — Materials inventory records and forecasting automatable

Select materials or props. Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products.
#9307 · Supplemental · 33% automatable

Arrange for outside contractors to construct exhibit structures.

decision support — Coordination across trades needs on-site human execution

Coordinate construction or installation activities.
#9309 · Supplemental · 6% automatable

Incorporate security systems into exhibit layouts.

situated mobility — Physical security presence in world

Maintain security. Construct exhibits or parts of exhibits.
#9299 · Supplemental · 33% automatable

Coordinate the removal of sets, props, and exhibits after productions or events are complete.

decision support — Coordination across trades needs on-site human execution

Coordinate construction or installation activities.
#9308 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Provide supportive materials for exhibits and displays, such as press kits, advertising, publicity notices, posters, brochures, catalogues, and invitations.

text generation — Promotional content drafted; human runs channels and relationships

Promote products, activities, or organizations.
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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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