Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators?

Task-level automation exposure for Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators: 26 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

10% weighted task index

26 of 26 tasks scored

Median Salary

$70,070 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

19,580 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+1.5% employment change

1,200 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 39 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$44,150 – $94,330

Highest medians

Massachusetts $94,330
Maryland $92,030
New York $87,150
Virginia $84,750
New Mexico $83,370

Lowest medians

Louisiana $44,150
Iowa $45,640
North Carolina $47,700
Wisconsin $47,920
Ohio $47,980

State figures come from the 47-4061 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 10%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 91%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 0%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 39/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

26 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 0%

0 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 0%

0 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 100%

26 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#13645 · Core · 10% automatable

Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.

physical manipulation — Physical maintenance of mechanical equipment

Maintain mechanical equipment.
#13643 · Core · 22% automatable

Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.

visual inspection — Physical locating of worn parts needs hands-on presence

Locate equipment or materials in need of repair or replacement.
#13656 · Core · 8% automatable

Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13648 · Core · 6% automatable

Cut rails to specified lengths, using rail saws.

physical manipulation — Metal cutting with tools, hands-on

Cut metal components for installation.
#13655 · Core · 8% automatable

Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13653 · Core · 8% automatable

Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13649 · Core · 10% automatable

Raise rails, using hydraulic jacks, to allow for tie removal and replacement.

physical manipulation — Crane/hoist operation demands real-time physical control

Operate cranes, hoists, or other moving or lifting equipment.
#13646 · Core · 10% automatable

Lubricate machines, change oil, or fill hydraulic reservoirs to specified levels.

physical manipulation — Physical maintenance of construction tools

Maintain construction tools or equipment.
#13651 · Core · 12% automatable

Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.

physical manipulation — Drilling construction materials is hands-on tool work

Drill holes in construction materials.
#13661 · Core · 8% automatable

Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13644 · Core · 10% automatable

Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.

physical manipulation — Equipment and facility cleaning is hands-on

Clean equipment or facilities.
#13647 · Core · 10% automatable

Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.

physical manipulation — Physical maintenance of mechanical equipment

Maintain mechanical equipment.
#13657 · Core · 10% automatable

Clean or make minor repairs to machines or equipment.

physical manipulation — Equipment and facility cleaning is hands-on

Clean equipment or facilities. Maintain construction tools or equipment.
#13654 · Core · 18% automatable

Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.

physical manipulation — Alignment verification needs physical measurement tools

Verify alignment of structures or equipment.
#13660 · Core · 8% automatable

Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13652 · Core · 8% automatable

Grind ends of new or worn rails to attain smooth joints, using portable grinders.

physical manipulation — Abrasive hand work on physical surfaces

Smooth surfaces with abrasive materials or tools.
#13658 · Core · 5% automatable

Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.

physical manipulation — Operating compaction equipment by hand on site

Spread sand, dirt or other loose materials onto surfaces. Compact materials to create level bases.
#20798 · Core · 10% automatable

Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.

physical manipulation — Welding is skilled hands-on metalwork

Weld metal components.
#13663 · Core · 10% automatable

Spray ties, fishplates, or joints with oil to protect them from weathering.

physical manipulation — Applying sealants requires hands-on coating

Apply sealants or other protective coatings.
#13665 · Core · 8% automatable

String and attach wire-guidelines machine to rails so that tracks or rails can be aligned or leveled.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13664 · Core · 8% automatable

Push controls to close grasping devices on track or rail sections so that they can be raised or moved.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13650 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13667 · Supplemental · 10% automatable

Paint railroad signs, such as speed limits or gate-crossing warnings.

physical manipulation — Applying paint requires physical brush or spray work

Apply paint to surfaces.
#13659 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Drive graders, tamping machines, brooms, or ballast spreading machines to redistribute gravel or ballast between rails.

physical manipulation — Operating compaction equipment by hand on site

Spread sand, dirt or other loose materials onto surfaces. Compact materials to create level bases.
#13662 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Turn wheels of machines, using lever controls, to adjust guidelines for track alignments or grades, following specifications.

physical manipulation — Heavy construction equipment operated manually

Operate heavy-duty construction or installation equipment.
#13666 · Supplemental · 6% automatable

Operate tie-adzing machines to cut ties and permit insertion of fishplates that hold rails.

physical manipulation — Wood cutting requires manual tool operation

Cut wood components for installation.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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