Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Physical Therapists?

Task-level automation exposure for Physical Therapists: 24 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

42% weighted task index

24 of 24 tasks scored

Median Salary

$102,760 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

High

267,330 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+11.9% employment change

13,400 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 52 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$60,250 – $124,190

Highest medians

California $124,190
Alaska $115,280
New Jersey $112,140
Nevada $111,250
Maryland $106,890

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $60,250
North Dakota $85,330
Montana $91,450
South Dakota $92,660
West Virginia $96,600

State figures come from the 29-1123 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 42%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 10%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 65%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 28%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 29/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

24 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 18%

4 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 47%

11 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 35%

9 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#363 · Core · 38% automatable

Plan, prepare, or carry out individually designed programs of physical treatment to maintain, improve, or restore physical functioning, alleviate pain, or prevent physical dysfunction in patients.

decision support — Medical plans need exam, liability, and clinical judgment

Develop medical treatment plans.
#364 · Core · 43% automatable

Perform and document an initial exam, evaluating data to identify problems and determine a diagnosis prior to intervention.

interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment

Examine patients to assess general physical condition. Analyze patient data to determine patient needs or treatment goals. Record patient medical histories.
#370 · Core · 71% automatable

Record prognosis, treatment, response, and progress in patient's chart or enter information into computer.

data analysis — Patient data entry largely automatable with review

Enter patient or treatment data into computers. Record patient medical histories.
#367 · Core · 30% automatable

Instruct patient and family in treatment procedures to be continued at home.

interpersonal — Caregiver technique training is live and relational

Train patients, family members, or caregivers in techniques for managing disabilities or illnesses.
#365 · Core · 48% automatable

Evaluate effects of treatment at various stages and adjust treatments to achieve maximum benefit.

data analysis — Outcome analysis from records, clinician interprets

Monitor patient progress or responses to treatments. Evaluate patient outcomes to determine effectiveness of treatments.
#368 · Core · 40% automatable

Confer with the patient, medical practitioners, or appropriate others to plan, implement, or assess the intervention program.

interpersonal — Treatment planning collaboration is accountable clinical work

Collaborate with healthcare professionals to plan or provide treatment.
#366 · Core · 8% automatable

Administer manual exercises, massage, or traction to help relieve pain, increase patient strength, or decrease or prevent deformity or crippling.

physical manipulation — Physical therapy techniques are hands-on body work

Treat patients using physical therapy techniques.
#371 · Core · 70% automatable

Obtain patients' informed consent to proposed interventions.

text generation — Healthcare forms processed digitally; human verifies edge cases

Process healthcare paperwork.
#373 · Core · 30% automatable

Test and measure patient's strength, motor development and function, sensory perception, functional capacity, or respiratory or circulatory efficiency and record data.

interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment

Test patient heart or lung functioning. Examine patients to assess general physical condition. Record patient medical histories.
#377 · Core · 28% automatable

Direct, supervise, assess, and communicate with supportive personnel.

interpersonal — Medical support supervision is live, accountable

Supervise medical support personnel.
#369 · Core · 55% automatable

Review physician's referral and patient's medical records to help determine diagnosis and physical therapy treatment required.

decision support — Treatment goals need clinical accountability and context

Analyze patient data to determine patient needs or treatment goals.
#374 · Core · 55% automatable

Identify and document goals, anticipated progress, and plans for reevaluation.

interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment

Establish treatment goals. Record patient medical histories.
#375 · Core · 40% automatable

Provide information to the patient about the proposed intervention, its material risks and expected benefits, and any reasonable alternatives.

interpersonal — Results delivery needs empathy and clinical judgment

Explain medical procedures or test results to patients or family members.
#381 · Core · 62% automatable

Provide educational information about physical therapy or physical therapists, injury prevention, ergonomics, or ways to promote health.

text generation — Health messaging drafted by AI; public delivery human

Communicate health and wellness information to the public.
#20407 · Core · 49% automatable

Inform patients and refer to appropriate practitioners when diagnosis reveals findings outside physical therapy.

decision support — Clinical referral judgment needs licensed human accountability

Communicate detailed medical information to patients or family members. Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources.
#372 · Core · 63% automatable

Discharge patient from physical therapy when goals or projected outcomes have been attained and provide for appropriate follow-up care or referrals.

text generation — Healthcare forms processed digitally; human verifies edge cases

Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources. Process healthcare paperwork.
#378 · Core · 14% automatable

Administer treatment involving application of physical agents, using equipment, moist packs, ultraviolet or infrared lamps, or ultrasound machines.

physical manipulation — Diagnostic instruments applied to patients by hand

Operate diagnostic or therapeutic medical instruments or equipment. Treat patients using physical therapy techniques.
#382 · Core · 55% automatable

Refer clients to community resources or services.

decision support — Clinical referral judgment needs licensed human accountability

Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources.
#385 · Core · 10% automatable

Construct, maintain, or repair medical supportive devices.

physical manipulation — Medical device fabrication is physical manufacturing

Fabricate medical devices.
#380 · Core · 30% automatable

Evaluate, fit, or adjust prosthetic or orthotic devices or recommend modification to orthotist.

decision support — Clinical advice needs licensed accountability and context

Adjust prostheses or other assistive devices. Advise medical personnel regarding healthcare issues.
#379 · Core · 30% automatable

Teach physical therapy students or those in other health professions.

interpersonal — Provider training is clinical, hands-on, accountable

Train medical providers.
#383 · Core · 40% automatable

Conduct or support research and apply research findings to practice.

information retrieval — Literature review aided; wet-lab and clinical research human

Conduct research to increase knowledge about medical issues.
#384 · Core · 52% automatable

Participate in community or community agency activities or help to formulate public policy.

decision support — Policy analysis drafted; political judgment human

Design public or employee health programs. Advise others on matters of public policy.
#386 · Supplemental · 22% automatable

Direct group rehabilitation activities.

interpersonal — Healthcare delivery direction carries clinical accountability

Direct healthcare delivery programs.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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