Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Petroleum Engineers?

Task-level automation exposure for Petroleum Engineers: 23 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

50% weighted task index

23 of 23 tasks scored

Median Salary

$144,910 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

18,060 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+2.0% employment change

1,000 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 16 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$93,360 – $206,290

Highest medians

Alaska $206,290
Utah $172,840
Colorado $172,190
Texas $164,860
Oklahoma $153,020

Lowest medians

West Virginia $93,360
Ohio $99,260
New Mexico $99,900
Nebraska $100,800
Pennsylvania $101,880

State figures come from the 17-2171 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 50%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 3%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 50%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 10%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 10/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

23 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 39%

8 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 40%

9 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 20%

6 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 05/2025 · AI/SME

    Use drone technology for aerial surveying and monitoring of drilling sites.

Constituent Tasks

#3582 · Core · 39% automatable

Specify and supervise well modification and stimulation programs to maximize oil and gas recovery.

decision support — Operational methods aided; human decides

Determine operational methods. Direct energy production or management activities.
#3580 · Core · 60% automatable

Monitor production rates, and plan rework processes to improve production.

data analysis — Efficiency metrics are digital and analyzable by AI

Monitor the productivity or efficiency of industrial operations. Develop technical methods or processes.
#3586 · Core · 75% automatable

Maintain records of drilling and production operations.

data analysis — Maintain records systems; human owns integrity

Maintain operational records or records systems.
#3581 · Core · 65% automatable

Analyze data to recommend placement of wells and supplementary processes to enhance production.

data analysis — Analyzes survey/physical data; human checks quality

Analyze physical, survey, or geographic data.
#3584 · Core · 45% automatable

Assist engineering and other personnel to solve operating problems.

decision support — AI diagnoses; human executes operational fixes

Resolve operational performance problems.
#3583 · Core · 35% automatable

Direct and monitor the completion and evaluation of wells, well testing, or well surveys.

interpersonal — Directing QC needs human oversight of physical processes

Direct quality control activities.
#3585 · Core · 72% automatable

Develop plans for oil and gas field drilling, and for product recovery and treatment.

text generation — Detailed work plans drafted from specifications

Prepare detailed work plans.
#3579 · Core · 70% automatable

Assess costs and estimate the production capabilities and economic value of oil and gas wells, to evaluate the economic viability of potential drilling sites.

data analysis — Cost-benefit analysis from given inputs; human reviews

Analyze costs and benefits of proposed designs or projects.
#3587 · Core · 58% automatable

Confer with scientific, engineering, and technical personnel to resolve design, research, and testing problems.

decision support — Design problem conferral aided; accountability stays human

Confer with other personnel to resolve design or operational problems.
#3591 · Core · 58% automatable

Interpret drilling and testing information for personnel.

decision support — AI explains specs; contextual engineering judgment human

Explain engineering drawings, specifications, or other technical information.
#3598 · Core · 35% automatable

Coordinate activities of workers engaged in research, planning, and development.

interpersonal — Directing design work needs accountability and judgment

Direct design or development activities.
#3588 · Core · 78% automatable

Write technical reports for engineering and management personnel.

text generation — Internal technical reports drafted; human reviews

Prepare technical reports for internal use.
#3589 · Core · 66% automatable

Evaluate findings to develop, design, or test equipment or processes.

data analysis — Interprets test results; context and judgment needed

Interpret design or operational test results.
#3600 · Supplemental · 30% automatable

Test machinery and equipment to ensure that it is safe and conforms to performance specifications.

data analysis — AI interprets results; human runs physical tests

Test performance of electrical, electronic, mechanical, or integrated systems or equipment.
#3590 · Supplemental · 30% automatable

Assign work to staff to obtain maximum utilization of personnel.

interpersonal — Supervising engineers needs accountability and motivation

Supervise engineering or other technical personnel.
#3596 · Supplemental · 60% automatable

Simulate reservoir performance for different recovery techniques, using computer models.

data analysis — AI builds computational models; engineer validates assumptions

Create models of engineering designs or methods.
#3592 · Supplemental · 38% automatable

Design and implement environmental controls on oil and gas operations.

decision support — AI assists design; engineering and regulatory validation human

Design environmental control systems.
#3594 · Supplemental · 28% automatable

Supervise the removal of drilling equipment, the removal of any waste, and the safe return of land to structural stability when wells or pockets are exhausted.

decision support — Energy operations direction needs real-time human control

Direct energy production or management activities.
#3595 · Supplemental · 20% automatable

Inspect oil and gas wells to determine that installations are completed.

visual inspection — Equipment/system inspection requires physical presence

Inspect equipment or systems.
#3593 · Supplemental · 26% automatable

Coordinate the installation, maintenance, and operation of mining and oil field equipment.

physical manipulation — Directing repair activities involves hands-on equipment work

Direct installation activities. Direct equipment maintenance or repair activities. Direct energy production or management activities.
#3597 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Take samples to assess the amount and quality of oil, the depth at which resources lie, and the equipment needed to properly extract them.

physical manipulation — Hands-on material sampling

Collect samples of raw materials or finished products.
#3599 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Design or modify mining and oil field machinery and tools, applying engineering principles.

decision support — AI drafts equipment designs; engineer owns manufacturability

Design industrial equipment.
#3601 · Supplemental · 40% automatable

Conduct engineering research experiments to improve or modify mining and oil machinery and operations.

data analysis — Design analysis aided; simulation and build human

Research advanced engineering designs or applications.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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