Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Pediatric Surgeons?

Task-level automation exposure for Pediatric Surgeons: 18 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Automation Exposure

34% weighted task index

18 of 18 tasks scored

Median Salary

$559,030 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

1,190 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+2.0% employment change

0 openings a year · BLS line item

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 34%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 6%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 56%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 6%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Constituent Task Mix

18 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 6%

1 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 50%

9 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 44%

8 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#22760 · Core · 55% automatable

Analyze patient's medical history, medication allergies, physical condition, and examination results to verify operation's necessity and to determine best procedure.

decision support — Treatment goals need clinical accountability and context

Analyze patient data to determine patient needs or treatment goals.
#22761 · Core · 40% automatable

Conduct research to develop and test surgical techniques that can improve operating procedures and outcomes.

information retrieval — Literature review aided; wet-lab and clinical research human

Conduct research to increase knowledge about medical issues.
#22762 · Core · 42% automatable

Consult with patient's other medical care specialists, such as cardiologist and endocrinologist, to determine if surgery is necessary.

interpersonal — Care planning conferral is collaborative clinical judgment

Confer with other professionals to plan patient care.
#22763 · Core · 24% automatable

Describe preoperative and postoperative treatments and procedures, such as sedatives, diets, antibiotics, or preparation and treatment of the patient's operative area, to parents or guardians of the patient.

decision support — Prescribing therapy requires licensed clinical accountability

Prescribe treatments or therapies. Prescribe medications.
#22764 · Core · 25% automatable

Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.

interpersonal — Patient care supervision is live clinical leadership

Supervise patient care personnel.
#22765 · Core · 27% automatable

Examine fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents, and diagnose health issues to determine need for intervention, such as surgery.

decision support — AI suggests differentials; clinician examines and owns diagnosis

Examine patients to assess general physical condition. Diagnose medical conditions.
#22766 · Core · 12% automatable

Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.

physical manipulation — Loading and operating sterilizing equipment by hand

Sterilize medical equipment or instruments.
#22767 · Core · 12% automatable

Examine patient to obtain information on medical condition and surgical risk.

visual inspection — Patient physical assessment is hands-on clinical work

Examine patients to assess general physical condition.
#22768 · Core · 35% automatable

Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.

decision support — AI recalls protocols; execution and accountability are human

Follow protocols or regulations for healthcare activities.
#22769 · Core · 38% automatable

Inform parents and guardians of child's health problems and surgical procedures through various channels, such as in-person and telecommunication systems.

interpersonal — Results delivery needs empathy and clinical judgment

Confer with family members to discuss client treatment plans or progress. Explain medical procedures or test results to patients or family members.
#22770 · Core · 58% automatable

Interpret results of preoperative tests and physical examinations.

visual inspection — Image interpretation assists; radiologist owns diagnosis

Analyze test data or images to inform diagnosis or treatment.
#22771 · Core · 56% automatable

Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment.

decision support — Medical supply ordering via systems; human approves

Schedule patient procedures or appointments. Manage healthcare operations. Order medical supplies or equipment.
#22772 · Core · 35% automatable

Monitor patient's recovery, making follow-up visits and using postoperative assessment techniques, such as blood and imaging tests.

decision support — AI aids chart review; clinical observation of patient is human

Monitor patient progress or responses to treatments.
#22773 · Core · 2% automatable

Operate on fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patients' functions.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#22774 · Core · 2% automatable

Perform transplantation operations, such as organ transplants, on fetuses, infants, children, and adolescents.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#22775 · Core · 62% automatable

Prepare case histories.

interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment

Record patient medical histories.
#22776 · Core · 28% automatable

Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons.

decision support — Clinical advice needs licensed accountability and context

Assist healthcare practitioners during surgery. Advise medical personnel regarding healthcare issues.
#22777 · Core · 55% automatable

Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary.

decision support — Clinical referral judgment needs licensed human accountability

Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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