Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons?

Task-level automation exposure for Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons: 15 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

15% weighted task index

15 of 15 tasks scored

Median Salary

$352,220 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

4,910 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+5.6% employment change

200 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 12 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$70,220 – $553,740

Highest medians

Pennsylvania $553,740
Minnesota $475,250
Rhode Island $414,060
Virginia $403,430
Colorado $360,820

Lowest medians

Illinois $70,220
Michigan $97,040
Georgia $129,010
North Carolina $224,040
Florida $233,050

State figures come from the 29-1022 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 15%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 92%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 67/100 High

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

15 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 0%

0 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 18%

2 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 82%

13 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Emerging & rewritten tasks

Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.

  • New 08/2026 · Occupational Expert

    Read and evaluate imaging, such as computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), for diagnosis and treatment.

Constituent Tasks

#9370 · Core · 4% automatable

Administer general and local anesthetics.

physical manipulation — Anesthesia administration is high-risk hands-on clinical act

Administer anesthetics or sedatives to control pain.
#9371 · Core · 4% automatable

Remove impacted, damaged, and non-restorable teeth.

physical manipulation — Dental procedures require manual dexterity

Treat dental problems or diseases.
#9372 · Core · 55% automatable

Evaluate the position of the wisdom teeth to determine whether problems exist currently or might occur in the future.

decision support — Treatment goals need clinical accountability and context

Analyze patient data to determine patient needs or treatment goals.
#9376 · Core · 12% automatable

Treat infections of the oral cavity, salivary glands, jaws, and neck.

physical manipulation — Hands-on treatment of acute conditions

Treat acute illnesses, infections, or injuries.
#9373 · Core · 40% automatable

Collaborate with other professionals, such as restorative dentists and orthodontists, to plan treatment.

interpersonal — Treatment planning collaboration is accountable clinical work

Collaborate with healthcare professionals to plan or provide treatment.
#9374 · Core · 2% automatable

Perform surgery to prepare the mouth for dental implants and to aid in the regeneration of deficient bone and gum tissues.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#9375 · Core · 2% automatable

Remove tumors and other abnormal growths of the oral and facial regions, using surgical instruments.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#9378 · Core · 18% automatable

Provide emergency treatment of facial injuries including facial lacerations, intra-oral lacerations, and fractured facial bones.

physical manipulation — Hands-on emergency resuscitation and physical intervention

Treat medical emergencies.
#9377 · Core · 12% automatable

Treat problems affecting the oral mucosa, such as mouth ulcers and infections.

physical manipulation — Hands-on treatment of acute conditions

Treat acute illnesses, infections, or injuries.
#9380 · Core · 2% automatable

Restore form and function by moving skin, bone, nerves, and other tissues from other parts of the body to reconstruct the jaws and face.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#9379 · Core · 2% automatable

Perform surgery on the mouth and jaws to treat conditions such as cleft lip, cleft palate, and jaw growth problems.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#24032 · Core · 21% automatable

Evaluate and treat problems related to the temperomandibular joint (TMJ).

decision support — Functional assessment aided by data, exam human

Evaluate patient functioning, capabilities, or health. Treat dental problems or diseases. Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#9382 · Supplemental · 2% automatable

Treat snoring problems, using laser surgery.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#20244 · Supplemental · 2% automatable

Perform minor cosmetic procedures, such as chin and cheekbone enhancements.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#20245 · Supplemental · 15% automatable

Perform minor facial rejuvenation procedures, including the use of Botox and laser technology.

decision support — Chronic disease management needs clinical judgment

Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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