Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Obstetricians and Gynecologists?

Task-level automation exposure for Obstetricians and Gynecologists: 15 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

35% weighted task index

15 of 15 tasks scored

Median Salary

$292,910 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

21,260 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+1.7% employment change

500 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 42 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$131,890 – $437,170

Highest medians

Utah $437,170
Alaska $421,450
Vermont $418,760
North Dakota $414,060
Louisiana $404,550

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $131,890
North Carolina $134,540
Rhode Island $166,390
Ohio $181,520
Connecticut $200,580

State figures come from the 29-1218 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 35%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 69%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 13%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 62/100 High

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

15 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 4%

1 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 58%

9 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 37%

5 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#7806 · Core · 15% automatable

Treat diseases of female organs.

decision support — Chronic disease management needs clinical judgment

Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#7804 · Core · 5% automatable

Care for and treat women during prenatal, natal, and postnatal periods.

physical manipulation — Pregnancy and childbirth care is physical clinical presence

Care for women during pregnancy and childbirth.
#7810 · Core · 58% automatable

Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical condition of patient.

visual inspection — Image interpretation assists; radiologist owns diagnosis

Analyze test data or images to inform diagnosis or treatment.
#7808 · Core · 2% automatable

Perform cesarean sections or other surgical procedures as needed to preserve patients' health and deliver babies safely.

physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability

Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#7811 · Core · 46% automatable

Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical histories, reports, or examination results.

interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment

Collect medical information from patients, family members, or other medical professionals. Record patient medical histories.
#7805 · Core · 40% automatable

Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients.

interpersonal — Results delivery needs empathy and clinical judgment

Explain medical procedures or test results to patients or family members.
#7809 · Core · 17% automatable

Prescribe or administer therapy, medication, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury.

decision support — Prescribing therapy requires licensed clinical accountability

Administer non-intravenous medications. Prescribe treatments or therapies. Prescribe medications.
#7807 · Core · 35% automatable

Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.

decision support — AI aids chart review; clinical observation of patient is human

Monitor patient progress or responses to treatments.
#7814 · Core · 45% automatable

Consult with or provide consulting services to other physicians.

decision support — Clinical advice needs licensed accountability and context

Collaborate with healthcare professionals to plan or provide treatment. Advise medical personnel regarding healthcare issues.
#7813 · Core · 55% automatable

Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioner when necessary.

decision support — Clinical referral judgment needs licensed human accountability

Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources.
#7815 · Core · 25% automatable

Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff.

interpersonal — Patient care supervision is live clinical leadership

Supervise patient care personnel.
#7812 · Core · 55% automatable

Advise patients and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention.

decision support — Wellness advice needs tailoring and clinical accountability

Provide health and wellness advice to patients, program participants, or caregivers. Advise communities or institutions regarding health or safety issues.
#7816 · Core · 35% automatable

Plan, implement, or administer health programs in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention and treatment of injuries or illnesses.

decision support — Drafts health program design; implementation and buy-in human

Design public or employee health programs. Direct healthcare delivery programs.
#7817 · Core · 68% automatable

Prepare government and organizational reports on birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or the medical status of individuals.

text generation — Health records drafted; clinician verifies and signs

Prepare official health documents or records.
#7818 · Supplemental · 40% automatable

Conduct research to develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury.

information retrieval — Literature review aided; wet-lab and clinical research human

Conduct research to increase knowledge about medical issues.
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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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