Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Materials Engineers?

Task-level automation exposure for Materials Engineers: 21 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

49% weighted task index

21 of 21 tasks scored

Median Salary

$112,860 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

22,770 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+7.5% employment change

1,300 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 45 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$64,270 – $165,600

Highest medians

New Mexico $165,600
Maryland $140,640
Washington $139,840
Delaware $131,320
Louisiana $128,670

Lowest medians

Iowa $64,270
Montana $76,030
Mississippi $78,700
Rhode Island $87,180
Utah $88,080

State figures come from the 17-2131 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 49%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 3%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 67%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 10%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 16/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

21 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 43%

8 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 36%

9 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 21%

4 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#9006 · Core · 25% automatable

Conduct or supervise tests on raw materials or finished products to ensure their quality.

physical manipulation — Material characteristic testing needs physical instruments

Test characteristics of materials or structures.
#9010 · Core · 63% automatable

Review new product plans, and make recommendations for material selection, based on design objectives such as strength, weight, heat resistance, electrical conductivity, and cost.

decision support — Proposes design changes; human validates feasibility

Evaluate plans or specifications to determine technological or environmental implications. Recommend technical design or process changes to improve efficiency, quality, or performance.
#9005 · Core · 62% automatable

Evaluate technical specifications and economic factors relating to process or product design objectives.

data analysis — Evaluates technical data impact; engineer owns design

Evaluate technical data to determine effect on designs or plans.
#9008 · Core · 45% automatable

Solve problems in a number of engineering fields, such as mechanical, chemical, electrical, civil, nuclear, and aerospace.

decision support — AI diagnoses; human executes operational fixes

Resolve operational performance problems.
#9014 · Core · 72% automatable

Plan and implement laboratory operations to develop material and fabrication procedures that meet cost, product specification, and performance standards.

text generation — Detailed work plans drafted from specifications

Prepare detailed work plans.
#9001 · Core · 68% automatable

Analyze product failure data and laboratory test results to determine causes of problems and develop solutions.

data analysis — Quantitative failure analysis; domain judgment needed

Conduct quantitative failure analyses of operational data.
#9015 · Core · 50% automatable

Determine appropriate methods for fabricating and joining materials.

decision support — Operational methods aided; human decides

Determine operational methods.
#9013 · Core · 35% automatable

Guide technical staff in developing materials for specific uses in projected products or devices.

interpersonal — Directing design work needs accountability and judgment

Direct design or development activities.
#9004 · Core · 35% automatable

Design and direct the testing or control of processing procedures.

interpersonal — Directing QC needs human oversight of physical processes

Direct quality control activities.
#9009 · Core · 62% automatable

Plan and evaluate new projects, consulting with other engineers and corporate executives, as necessary.

text generation — Detailed work plans drafted from specifications

Evaluate plans or specifications to determine technological or environmental implications. Prepare detailed work plans. Confer with technical personnel to prepare designs or operational plans.
#9003 · Core · 30% automatable

Supervise the work of technologists, technicians, and other engineers and scientists.

interpersonal — Supervising engineers needs accountability and motivation

Supervise engineering or other technical personnel.
#9017 · Core · 28% automatable

Supervise production and testing processes in industrial settings, such as metal refining facilities, smelting or foundry operations, or nonmetallic materials production operations.

interpersonal — Industrial production direction is human supervisory control

Direct industrial production activities.
#9007 · Core · 70% automatable

Perform managerial functions, such as preparing proposals and budgets, analyzing labor costs, and writing reports.

text generation — Generate operational reports from structured data

Prepare proposal documents. Prepare operational reports. Prepare project budgets.
#9002 · Core · 60% automatable

Monitor material performance, and evaluate its deterioration.

data analysis — Efficiency metrics are digital and analyzable by AI

Monitor the productivity or efficiency of industrial operations.
#9019 · Core · 60% automatable

Replicate the characteristics of materials and their components, using computers.

data analysis — AI builds computational models; engineer validates assumptions

Create models of engineering designs or methods.
#9016 · Core · 40% automatable

Conduct training sessions on new material products, applications, or manufacturing methods for customers and their employees.

interpersonal — Operational procedure training needs live demonstration

Train personnel on proper operational procedures.
#9012 · Supplemental · 10% automatable

Modify properties of metal alloys, using thermal and mechanical treatments.

physical manipulation — Physical preparation of materials by hand

Prepare materials for processing.
#9020 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Teach in colleges and universities.

text generation — Social science lectures draftable; delivery and grading human

Teach classes in area of specialization. Teach social science courses at the college level.
#9011 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Design processing plants and equipment.

decision support — AI models process systems; engineer validates feasibility

Design industrial processing systems.
#21167 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Present technical information at conferences.

interpersonal — Presentation delivery and Q&A are human; AI drafts slides

Present research results to others.
#9018 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Write for technical magazines, journals, and trade association publications.

text generation — AI drafts; original expertise and authorship are human

Write articles, books or other original materials in area of expertise.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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