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AI Automation Index
Will AI Replace Human Resources Managers?
Task-level automation exposure for Human Resources Managers: 26 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.
E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh Automation Exposure
47%
weighted task index
26 of 26 tasks scored
Median Salary
$149,280 / year
BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation
Employment Level
High
220,660 people hold this job — size, not growth
Projected 2025–35
+5.5%
employment change
16,800 openings a year · BLS line item
Pay by state
BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.
$77,180 – $184,350
Highest medians
District of Columbia $184,350
Massachusetts $181,780
New York $176,650
New Jersey $172,440
California $170,080
Lowest medians
Guam $77,180
Virgin Islands $77,490
Puerto Rico $78,370
Mississippi $106,100
Louisiana $107,880
State figures come from the 11-3121 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.
What the score is made of
Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.
Automation potential 47%
Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.
Physical work 0%
Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.
Judgment & influence 66%
Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.
Routine administration 8%
Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.
Rewritten by O*NET 0%
Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.
Consequence of error 9/100
Low
O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.
Constituent Task Mix
26 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.
High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 27%
7 tasks
Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 51%
14 tasks
Low exposure (below 35%) 22%
5 tasks
How would you survive?
Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.
Simulate Upskilling →Constituent Tasks
#990 · Core · 50% automatable
Serve as a link between management and employees by handling questions, interpreting and administering contracts and helping resolve work-related problems.
interpersonal — Cross-department liaison is relational brokering
Liaise between departments or other groups to improve function or communication.
#991 · Core · 33% automatable
Plan, direct, supervise, and coordinate work activities of subordinates and staff relating to employment, compensation, labor relations, and employee relations.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Supervise employees. Manage human resources activities.
#986 · Core · 33% automatable
Perform difficult staffing duties, including dealing with understaffing, refereeing disputes, firing employees, and administering disciplinary procedures.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Manage human resources activities. Hire personnel.
#998 · Core · 30% automatable
Represent organization at personnel-related hearings and investigations.
interpersonal — External representation requires human presence and authority
Represent the organization in external relations.
#999 · Core · 22% automatable
Negotiate bargaining agreements and help interpret labor contracts.
interpersonal — Labor dispute negotiation needs authority and presence
Negotiate labor disputes.
#987 · Core · 57% automatable
Advise managers on organizational policy matters, such as equal employment opportunity and sexual harassment, and recommend needed changes.
decision support — Drafts policy options; political judgment owned by human
Recommend organizational process or policy changes. Advise others on legal or regulatory compliance matters.
#989 · Core · 45% automatable
Plan and conduct new employee orientation to foster positive attitude toward organizational objectives.
interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human
Conduct employee training programs.
#988 · Core · 66% automatable
Analyze and modify compensation and benefits policies to establish competitive programs and ensure compliance with legal requirements.
data analysis — Operational data analysis; manager owns decisions
Analyze data to inform operational decisions or activities. Administer compensation or benefits programs.
#983 · Core · 38% automatable
Identify staff vacancies and recruit, interview, and select applicants.
interpersonal — AI drafts outreach; human builds candidate relationships
Interview employees, customers, or others to collect information. Hire personnel. Recruit personnel.
#997 · Core · 50% automatable
Investigate and report on industrial accidents for insurance carriers.
text generation — Draft compliance reports; human verifies facts
Investigate industrial or transportation accidents. Prepare reports related to compliance matters.
#994 · Core · 60% automatable
Analyze statistical data and reports to identify and determine causes of personnel problems and develop recommendations for improvement of organization's personnel policies and practices.
decision support — Personnel decisions carry accountability and bias risk
Analyze data to inform personnel decisions.
#982 · Core · 48% automatable
Administer compensation, benefits, and performance management systems, and safety and recreation programs.
data analysis — Rules-based benefits admin; human handles exceptions
Manage human resources activities. Administer compensation or benefits programs.
#1001 · Core · 72% automatable
Prepare and follow budgets for personnel operations.
data analysis — Budget drafting from assumptions; human validates assumptions
Prepare operational budgets.
#993 · Core · 82% automatable
Maintain records and compile statistical reports concerning personnel-related data such as hires, transfers, performance appraisals, and absenteeism rates.
data analysis — Compiling operational data from sources is automatable
Compile operational data. Maintain personnel records.
#985 · Core · 60% automatable
Provide current and prospective employees with information about policies, job duties, working conditions, wages, opportunities for promotion, and employee benefits.
text generation — AI drafts policy communications; human approves
Communicate organizational policies and procedures.
#995 · Core · 35% automatable
Plan, organize, direct, control, or coordinate the personnel, training, or labor relations activities of an organization.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Manage human resources activities.
#996 · Core · 30% automatable
Conduct exit interviews to identify reasons for employee termination.
interpersonal — Live interviewing is human relational work
Interview employees, customers, or others to collect information.
#1003 · Core · 35% automatable
Oversee the evaluation, classification, and rating of occupations and job positions.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Manage human resources activities.
#992 · Core · 35% automatable
Analyze training needs to design employee development, language training, and health and safety programs.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Manage human resources activities.
#984 · Core · 35% automatable
Allocate human resources, ensuring appropriate matches between personnel.
interpersonal — HR management is relational and accountability-bearing
Manage human resources activities.
#1000 · Core · 60% automatable
Prepare personnel forecast to project employment needs.
data analysis — Labor estimates depend on context and human calibration
Estimate labor requirements.
#1004 · Core · 80% automatable
Study legislation, arbitration decisions, and collective bargaining contracts to assess industry trends.
information retrieval — AI summarizes developments; human retains expertise
Maintain knowledge of current developments in area of expertise.
#1005 · Core · 38% automatable
Develop or administer special projects in areas such as pay equity, savings bond programs, day care, and employee awards.
decision support — Event planning aided; execution and accountability human
Coordinate special events or programs. Manage human resources activities.
#1002 · Supplemental · 43% automatable
Develop, administer, and evaluate applicant tests.
decision support — Broad HR work needs human judgment and accountability
Perform human resources activities. Administer standardized physical or psychological tests.
#1007 · Supplemental · 35% automatable
Contract with vendors to provide employee services, such as food service, transportation, or relocation service.
interpersonal — Negotiation needs authority and live give-and-take
Negotiate sales or lease agreements for products or services.
#1006 · Supplemental · 55% automatable
Provide terminated employees with outplacement or relocation assistance.
interpersonal — Personal development advice needs human relationship
Advise others on career or personal development.
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How this was scored
- 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
- 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
- 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
- 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.
Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.
Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast
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