Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators?

Task-level automation exposure for Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators: 28 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

37% weighted task index

28 of 28 tasks scored

Median Salary

$55,490 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

11,220 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-2.9% employment change

2,200 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 30 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$25,830 – $98,540

Highest medians

Oregon $98,540
Nevada $81,630
New York $78,870
Washington $72,430
Connecticut $71,210

Lowest medians

Kansas $25,830
Tennessee $30,720
Ohio $31,780
Arkansas $32,340
Michigan $38,650

State figures come from the 27-1013 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 37%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 35%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 32%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 7%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 18/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

28 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 24%

6 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 35%

10 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 41%

12 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#10989 · Core · 8% automatable

Use materials such as pens and ink, watercolors, charcoal, oil, or computer software to create artwork.

physical manipulation — Applying paint requires physical brush or spray work

Construct distinctive physical objects for artistic, functional, or commercial purposes. Apply paint to surfaces. Apply finishes to artwork, crafts, or displays.
#10990 · Core · 60% automatable

Integrate and develop visual elements, such as line, space, mass, color, and perspective, to produce desired effects, such as the illustration of ideas, emotions, or moods.

text generation — Concepts generated; commercial curation human

Develop artistic or design concepts for decoration, exhibition, or commercial purposes.
#10991 · Core · 55% automatable

Confer with clients, editors, writers, art directors, and other interested parties regarding the nature and content of artwork to be produced.

interpersonal — Technical detail negotiation is interactive human work

Collaborate with others to determine technical details of productions.
#10993 · Core · 85% automatable

Maintain portfolios of artistic work to demonstrate styles, interests, and abilities.

data analysis — Maintain files and records in structured systems

Maintain records, documents, or other files.
#20990 · Core · 62% automatable

Market artwork through brochures, mailings, or Web sites.

text generation — Campaign content and analysis drafted; human executes strategy

Perform marketing activities.
#10997 · Core · 50% automatable

Study different techniques to learn how to apply them to artistic endeavors.

information retrieval — Literature scanning aided; hands-on prototyping human

Research new technologies.
#10996 · Core · 69% automatable

Monitor events, trends, and other circumstances, research specific subject areas, attend art exhibitions, and read art publications to develop ideas and keep current on art world activities.

information retrieval — AI tracks trends across sources continuously

Monitor current trends. Conduct research to inform art, designs, or other work.
#20991 · Core · 18% automatable

Photograph objects, places, or scenes for reference material.

physical manipulation — Camera operation requires physical framing and handling

Operate still or video cameras or related equipment.
#11011 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Model substances such as clay or wax, using fingers and small hand tools to form objects.

physical manipulation — Physical fabrication of models and patterns

Build models, patterns, or templates.
#11000 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Create sculptures, statues, and other three-dimensional artwork by using abrasives and tools to shape, carve, and fabricate materials such as clay, stone, wood, or metal.

physical manipulation — Crafting physical objects is manual artisan work

Construct distinctive physical objects for artistic, functional, or commercial purposes.
#20992 · Supplemental · 6% automatable

Set up exhibitions of artwork for display or sale.

physical manipulation — Arranging props is physical placement work

Arrange artwork, products, or props.
#10998 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Render drawings, illustrations, and sketches of buildings, manufactured products, or models, working from sketches, blueprints, memory, models, or reference materials.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#11003 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Shade and fill in sketch outlines and backgrounds, using a variety of media such as water colors, markers, and transparent washes, labeling designated colors when necessary.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#20993 · Supplemental · 6% automatable

Frame and mat artwork for display or sale.

physical manipulation — Preparing materials for storage is physical

Prepare materials for preservation, storage, or display.
#20994 · Supplemental · 75% automatable

Submit artwork to shows or galleries.

text generation — Sending digital materials automatable; physical mailing human

Send information, materials or documentation.
#10992 · Supplemental · 40% automatable

Submit preliminary or finished artwork or project plans to clients for approval, incorporating changes as necessary.

interpersonal — Client approval requires live persuasion and accountability

Present work to clients for approval.
#11004 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Collaborate with engineers, mechanics, and other technical experts as necessary to build and install creations.

decision support — AI aids logistics planning; on-site event execution human

Coordinate logistics for productions or events.
#10995 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Cut, bend, laminate, arrange, and fasten individual or mixed raw and manufactured materials and products to form works of art.

physical manipulation — Crafting physical objects is manual artisan work

Construct distinctive physical objects for artistic, functional, or commercial purposes.
#11013 · Supplemental · 12% automatable

Provide entertainment at special events by performing activities such as drawing cartoons.

interpersonal — Live comedic/dramatic performance requires embodied human presence

Entertain public with comedic or dramatic performances.
#11002 · Supplemental · 65% automatable

Develop project budgets for approval, estimating time lines and material costs.

data analysis — Project cost estimation from given parameters

Estimate costs for projects or productions.
#11005 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Create and prepare sketches and model drawings of cartoon characters, providing details from memory, live models, manufactured products, or reference materials.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#10994 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Create finished art work as decoration, or to elucidate or substitute for spoken or written messages.

physical manipulation — Crafting physical objects is manual artisan work

Construct distinctive physical objects for artistic, functional, or commercial purposes.
#10999 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Create sketches, profiles, or likenesses of posed subjects or photographs, using any combination of freehand drawing, mechanical assembly kits, and computer imaging.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#11009 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Trace drawings onto clear acetate for painting or coloring, or trace them with ink to make final copies.

visual inspection — AI aids illustrations; precise technical drawing human

Draw detailed or technical illustrations.
#11010 · Supplemental · 9% automatable

Apply solvents and cleaning agents to clean surfaces of paintings, and to remove accretions, discolorations, and deteriorated varnish.

physical manipulation — Surface preparation is hands-on physical work

Clean surfaces in preparation for work activities. Clean objects. Immerse objects or workpieces in cleaning or coating solutions.
#11012 · Supplemental · 20% automatable

Collaborate with writers who create ideas, stories, or captions that are combined with artists' work.

interpersonal — Collaborative artistic production needs live human coordination

Collaborate with others to prepare or perform artistic productions.
#11008 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Brush or spray protective or decorative finishes on completed background panels, informational legends, exhibit accessories, or finished paintings.

physical manipulation — Manual craft finishing work

Apply finishes to artwork, crafts, or displays.
#20995 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Teach artistic techniques to children or adults.

interpersonal — Course content AI-assisted; live teaching and assessment human

Teach classes in area of specialization.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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