Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Fallers?

Task-level automation exposure for Fallers: 17 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

18% weighted task index

17 of 17 tasks scored

Median Salary

$52,100 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

3,130 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

-9.9% employment change

500 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 18 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$26,210 – $84,490

Highest medians

Oregon $84,490
Idaho $78,330
Washington $77,340
South Carolina $76,350
Arkansas $67,060

Lowest medians

Indiana $26,210
New York $36,190
Georgia $39,380
North Carolina $46,080
Tennessee $47,560

State figures come from the 45-4021 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 18%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 63%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 28%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 3/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

17 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 7%

1 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 21%

3 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 72%

13 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#13486 · Core · 5% automatable

Saw back-cuts, leaving sufficient sound wood to control direction of fall.

physical manipulation — Chainsaw work in unpredictable forest terrain

Cut trees or logs.
#13491 · Core · 5% automatable

Control the direction of a tree's fall by scoring cutting lines with axes, sawing undercuts along scored lines with chainsaws, knocking slabs from cuts with single-bit axes, and driving wedges.

physical manipulation — Chainsaw work in unpredictable forest terrain

Cut trees or logs.
#13484 · Core · 7% automatable

Stop saw engines, pull cutting bars from cuts, and run to safety as tree falls.

physical manipulation — Forestry equipment operation is heavy hands-on work

Cut trees or logs. Operate forestry equipment.
#13493 · Core · 42% automatable

Select trees to be cut down, assessing factors such as site, terrain, and weather conditions before beginning work.

decision support — Forestry methods need field and site judgment

Determine forestry techniques or methods.
#13488 · Core · 14% automatable

Measure felled trees and cut them into specified log lengths, using chain saws and axes.

physical manipulation — Hands-on measurement of agricultural products

Measure physical characteristics of forestry or agricultural products. Cut trees or logs.
#13495 · Core · 7% automatable

Insert jacks or drive wedges behind saws to prevent binding of saws and to start trees falling.

physical manipulation — Forestry equipment operation is heavy hands-on work

Cut trees or logs. Operate forestry equipment.
#13489 · Core · 60% automatable

Assess logs after cutting to ensure that the quality and length are correct.

data analysis — Log analysis aided; domain interpretation human

Evaluate log quality.
#13485 · Core · 35% automatable

Appraise trees for certain characteristics, such as twist, rot, and heavy limb growth, and gauge amount and direction of lean, to determine how to control the direction of a tree's fall with the least damage.

visual inspection — Crop quality needs physical inspection and sensory judgment

Evaluate quality of plants or crops.
#13487 · Core · 7% automatable

Clear brush from work areas and escape routes, and cut saplings and other trees from direction of falls, using axes, chainsaws, or bulldozers.

physical manipulation — Forestry equipment operation is heavy hands-on work

Trim trees or other vegetation. Operate forestry equipment.
#13496 · Core · 10% automatable

Tag unsafe trees with high-visibility ribbons.

physical manipulation — Marking forestry products is manual field work

Mark agricultural or forestry products for identification.
#13490 · Core · 42% automatable

Determine position, direction, and depth of cuts to be made, and placement of wedges or jacks.

decision support — Forestry methods need field and site judgment

Determine forestry techniques or methods.
#13494 · Core · 18% automatable

Maintain and repair chainsaws and other equipment, cleaning, oiling, and greasing equipment, and sharpening equipment properly.

physical manipulation — Hands-on repair of field equipment in unstructured settings

Maintain forestry, hunting, or agricultural equipment.
#13492 · Core · 5% automatable

Trim off the tops and limbs of trees, using chainsaws, delimbers, or axes.

physical manipulation — Hands-on trimming of vegetation in the field

Trim trees or other vegetation.
#13499 · Supplemental · 10% automatable

Mark logs for identification.

physical manipulation — Marking forestry products is manual field work

Mark agricultural or forestry products for identification.
#13501 · Supplemental · 3% automatable

Place supporting limbs or poles under felled trees to avoid splitting undersides, and to prevent logs from rolling.

physical manipulation — Manual agricultural labor in unstructured fields

Perform manual agricultural, aquacultural, or horticultural tasks.
#13497 · Supplemental · 5% automatable

Secure steel cables or chains to logs for dragging by tractors or for pulling by cable yarding systems.

physical manipulation — Hands-on accessory attachment

Attach equipment extensions or accessories.
#13500 · Supplemental · 8% automatable

Work as a member of a team, rotating between chain saw operation and skidder operation.

physical manipulation — Forestry equipment operation is heavy hands-on work

Operate forestry equipment.
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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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