Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers?

Task-level automation exposure for First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers: 30 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

39% weighted task index

30 of 30 tasks scored

Median Salary

$59,320 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Medium

27,960 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+3.8% employment change

7,200 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 49 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$33,800 – $81,480

Highest medians

Minnesota $81,480
Indiana $75,460
New Hampshire $74,420
Georgia $70,560
Idaho $69,360

Lowest medians

Puerto Rico $33,800
New Mexico $50,160
Utah $52,760
Tennessee $52,960
Texas $53,170

State figures come from the 45-1011 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 39%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 10%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 40%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 6%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 34/100 Moderate

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

30 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 22%

7 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 28%

8 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 49%

15 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#23340 · Core · 68% automatable

Assign tasks such as feeding and treatment of animals, and cleaning and maintenance of animal quarters.

decision support — Assignments drafted; accountability and negotiation human

Assign duties or work schedules to employees.
#23341 · Core · 70% automatable

Record the numbers and types of fish or shellfish reared, harvested, released, sold, and shipped.

data analysis — Record inventory data; field collection is human

Record agricultural or forestry inventory data.
#23342 · Core · 40% automatable

Monitor workers to ensure that safety regulations are followed, warning or disciplining those who violate safety regulations.

visual inspection — Product inspection needs physical visual/tactile check

Inspect products or operations to ensure that standards are met.
#23343 · Core · 25% automatable

Observe animals for signs of illness, injury, or unusual behavior, notifying veterinarians or managers as warranted.

visual inspection — Animal behavior observation is physical and situated

Monitor animal behavior or condition.
#23344 · Core · 25% automatable

Observe fish and beds or ponds to detect diseases, monitor fish growth, determine quality of fish, or determine completeness of harvesting.

visual inspection — Animal behavior observation is physical and situated

Monitor animal behavior or condition.
#23345 · Core · 22% automatable

Train workers in tree felling or bucking, operation of tractors or loading machines, yarding or loading techniques, or safety regulations.

physical manipulation — Farming/forestry technique training is hands-on outdoor work

Train workers in farming, forestry, or hunting techniques.
#23346 · Core · 5% automatable

Treat animal illnesses or injuries, following experience or instructions of veterinarians.

physical manipulation — Veterinary hands-on treatment of animals

Treat animal injuries or illnesses.
#23347 · Core · 22% automatable

Train workers in spawning, rearing, cultivating, and harvesting methods, and in the use of equipment.

physical manipulation — Farming/forestry technique training is hands-on outdoor work

Train workers in farming, forestry, or hunting techniques.
#23348 · Core · 22% automatable

Train workers in techniques such as planting, harvesting, weeding, or insect identification and in the use of safety measures.

physical manipulation — Farming/forestry technique training is hands-on outdoor work

Train workers in farming, forestry, or hunting techniques.
#23349 · Core · 42% automatable

Confer with managers to evaluate weather or soil conditions, to develop plans or procedures, or to discuss issues such as changes in fertilizers, herbicides, or cultivating techniques.

interpersonal — Live managerial conferral; AI can draft but not decide

Confer with managers to make operational decisions.
#23350 · Core · 55% automatable

Communicate with forestry personnel regarding forest harvesting or forest management plans, procedures, or schedules.

interpersonal — Coordination needs live negotiation and context

Communicate with other workers to coordinate activities.
#23351 · Core · 35% automatable

Inspect crops, fields, or plant stock to determine conditions and need for cultivating, spraying, weeding, or harvesting.

visual inspection — Crop quality needs physical inspection and sensory judgment

Evaluate quality of plants or crops.
#23352 · Core · 30% automatable

Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites.

interpersonal — Coordinating field agricultural work is human and physical

Coordinate forestry or agricultural activities.
#23353 · Core · 30% automatable

Coordinate the selection and movement of logs from storage areas, according to transportation schedules or production requirements.

interpersonal — Coordinating field agricultural work is human and physical

Coordinate forestry or agricultural activities.
#23354 · Core · 55% automatable

Schedule work crews, equipment, or transportation for several different work locations.

data analysis — AI schedules work; weather and field reality are human

Schedule agricultural or forestry work.
#23355 · Core · 8% automatable

Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.

situated mobility — Farming equipment operation in unstructured fields

Operate farming equipment.
#23356 · Core · 27% automatable

Perform both supervisory and management functions, such as accounting, marketing, and personnel work.

interpersonal — Directing field employees is on-site human supervision

Direct activities of agricultural, forestry, or fishery employees.
#23357 · Core · 6% automatable

Transport or arrange for transport of animals, equipment, food, animal feed, and other supplies to and from work sites.

physical manipulation — Physical transport of animals, crops, equipment

Transport animals, crops, or equipment.
#23358 · Core · 22% automatable

Inspect buildings, fences, fields or ranges, supplies, and equipment to determine work to be performed.

visual inspection — Condition assessment needs physical presence

Inspect equipment or facilities to determine condition or maintenance needs.
#23359 · Core · 62% automatable

Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities.

data analysis — Organizational process monitoring is largely digital and analyzable

Monitor organizational processes.
#23360 · Core · 22% automatable

Inspect facilities to determine maintenance needs.

visual inspection — Condition assessment needs physical presence

Inspect equipment or facilities to determine condition or maintenance needs.
#23361 · Core · 42% automatable

Confer with managers to determine production requirements, conditions of equipment and supplies, and work schedules.

interpersonal — Live managerial conferral; AI can draft but not decide

Confer with managers to make operational decisions.
#23362 · Core · 78% automatable

Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions.

data analysis — Maintain structured personnel records in systems

Maintain personnel records.
#23363 · Core · 70% automatable

Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools.

data analysis — Materials inventory records and forecasting automatable

Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products.
#23364 · Core · 27% automatable

Monitor or oversee construction projects, such as horticultural buildings or irrigation systems.

interpersonal — Directing field employees is on-site human supervision

Direct activities of agricultural, forestry, or fishery employees.
#23365 · Core · 70% automatable

Issue equipment, such as farm implements, machinery, ladders, or containers to workers, and collect equipment when work is complete.

data analysis — Materials inventory records and forecasting automatable

Maintain inventories of materials, equipment, or products.
#23366 · Core · 72% automatable

Calculate or monitor budgets for maintenance or development of collections, grounds, or infrastructure.

data analysis — Financial activity monitoring largely automated; human reviews anomalies

Monitor financial activities.
#23367 · Core · 25% automatable

Direct or assist with the adjustment or repair of equipment or machinery.

interpersonal — Directing technical operations needs human accountability

Maintain forestry, hunting, or agricultural equipment. Direct technical activities or operations.
#23368 · Core · 45% automatable

Monitor operations to identify and solve problems, improve work methods, and ensure compliance with safety, company, and government regulations.

decision support — AI flags quality/safety issues; human owns physical verification

Monitor operational quality or safety.
#23369 · Core · 55% automatable

Plan work schedules according to personnel and equipment availability.

data analysis — AI schedules work; weather and field reality are human

Schedule agricultural or forestry work.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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