AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Emergency Management Directors?

Task-level automation exposure for Emergency Management Directors: 23 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

E-E-A-T Verified

Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

58% weighted task index

23 of 23 tasks scored

Median Salary

$93,330 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

13,500 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+3.9% employment change

1,100 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 47 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$48,650 – $184,350

Highest medians

District of Columbia $184,350

New Mexico $145,550

Washington $130,780

California $129,910

Colorado $129,660

Lowest medians

Mississippi $48,650

Arkansas $50,180

West Virginia $60,460

Oklahoma $60,990

Montana $62,770

State figures come from the 11-9161 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 58%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 50%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 19%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 14/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

23 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 57%

13 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 33%

8 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 10%

2 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#7263 · Core · 50% automatable

Consult with officials of local and area governments, schools, hospitals, and other institutions to determine their needs and capabilities in the event of a natural disaster or other emergency.

text generation — Drafting agency communications aided; relationships human

Communicate with government agencies. Coordinate operational activities with external stakeholders.

#7258 · Core · 28% automatable

Develop and maintain liaisons with municipalities, county departments, and similar entities to facilitate plan development, response effort coordination, and exchanges of personnel and equipment.

interpersonal — Interpersonal business relationships are inherently human

Establish interpersonal business relationships to facilitate work activities.

#7257 · Core · 40% automatable

Coordinate disaster response or crisis management activities, such as ordering evacuations, opening public shelters, and implementing special needs plans and programs.

decision support — Event planning aided; execution and accountability human

Coordinate special events or programs.

#7260 · Core · 70% automatable

Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.

text generation — Draft compliance reports; human verifies facts

Prepare reports related to compliance matters.

#7256 · Core · 80% automatable

Maintain and update all resource materials associated with emergency preparedness plans.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records.

#7254 · Core · 65% automatable

Prepare plans that outline operating procedures to be used in response to disasters or emergencies, such as hurricanes, nuclear accidents, and terrorist attacks, and in recovery from these events.

text generation — Response plans drafted; compliance review human

Develop emergency response plans or procedures.

#7264 · Core · 68% automatable

Develop and perform tests and evaluations of emergency management plans in accordance with state and federal regulations.

data analysis — Program metrics analysis, human owns conclusions

Evaluate program effectiveness. Develop emergency response plans or procedures.

#7266 · Core · 45% automatable

Collaborate with other officials to prepare and analyze damage assessments following disasters or emergencies.

interpersonal — Coordinating work through live human interaction

Confer with organizational members to accomplish work activities.

#7261 · Core · 73% automatable

Design and administer emergency or disaster preparedness training courses that teach people how to effectively respond to major emergencies and disasters.

text generation — Draft training materials; human tailors content

Develop emergency response plans or procedures. Develop training materials.

#7253 · Core · 80% automatable

Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, response efforts, or plan implementation.

information retrieval — AI summarizes developments; human retains expertise

Maintain knowledge of current developments in area of expertise.

#7262 · Core · 20% automatable

Inspect facilities and equipment, such as emergency management centers and communications equipment, to determine their operational and functional capabilities in emergency situations.

visual inspection — Physical condition/function check needs hands-on access

Inspect condition or functioning of facilities or equipment.

#7269 · Core · 65% automatable

Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

text generation — Response plans drafted; compliance review human

Develop emergency response plans or procedures.

#7259 · Core · 73% automatable

Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans, and ensure that plans adhere to those regulations.

information retrieval — AI summarizes developments; human retains expertise

Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards. Maintain knowledge of current developments in area of expertise.

#7270 · Core · 45% automatable

Conduct surveys to determine the types of emergency-related needs to be addressed in disaster planning, or provide technical support to others conducting such surveys.

interpersonal — Survey design aided; administration needs human respondents

Conduct opinion surveys or needs assessments.

#7265 · Core · 80% automatable

Attend meetings, conferences, and workshops related to emergency management to learn new information and to develop working relationships with other emergency management specialists.

information retrieval — AI summarizes developments; human retains expertise

Maintain knowledge of current developments in area of expertise.

#7255 · Core · 60% automatable

Propose alteration of emergency response procedures, based on regulatory changes, technological changes, or knowledge gained from outcomes of previous emergency situations.

decision support — Drafts policy options; political judgment owned by human

Recommend organizational process or policy changes.

#7267 · Core · 45% automatable

Develop instructional materials for the public and make presentations to citizens' groups to provide information on emergency plans and their implementation processes.

interpersonal — Public presentation is live human performance

Present information to the public.

#7272 · Core · 69% automatable

Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs, and administer and report on the progress of such grants.

text generation — Status/progress reports from tracked data

Prepare proposals or grant applications to obtain project funding. Prepare operational progress or status reports.

#7268 · Core · 55% automatable

Train local groups in the preparation of long-term plans that are compatible with federal and state plans.

text generation — Safety standards content AI-draftable; delivery and site context human

Teach safety standards or environmental compliance methods.

#7275 · Core · 55% automatable

Provide communities with assistance in applying for federal funding for emergency management facilities, radiological instrumentation, and related items.

decision support — Compliance guidance drafted; human verifies and owns

Advise others on legal or regulatory compliance matters.

#7271 · Core · 65% automatable

Study emergency plans used elsewhere to gather information for plan development.

text generation — Response plans drafted; compliance review human

Develop emergency response plans or procedures.

#7273 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Develop and implement training procedures and strategies for radiological protection, detection, and decontamination.

text generation — Policy drafts aided; organizational adoption human

Implement organizational process or policy changes. Develop safety standards, policies, or procedures.

#7274 · Supplemental · 64% automatable

Inventory and distribute nuclear, biological, and chemical detection and contamination equipment, providing instruction in its maintenance and use.

data analysis — Inventory management systems; human handles physical counts

Communicate organizational policies and procedures. Manage inventories of products or organizational resources.

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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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