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AI Automation Index
Will AI Replace Dermatologists?
Task-level automation exposure for Dermatologists: 18 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.
E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh Automation Exposure
34%
weighted task index
18 of 18 tasks scored
Median Salary
$328,730 / year
BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation
Employment Level
Low
11,370 people hold this job — size, not growth
Projected 2025–35
+6.8%
employment change
400 openings a year · BLS line item
Pay by state
BLS OEWS publishes 26 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.
$165,040 – $625,790
Highest medians
Minnesota $625,790
Washington $526,170
New Hampshire $516,230
Maryland $442,210
Delaware $442,120
Lowest medians
Connecticut $165,040
Kentucky $195,830
Texas $218,670
Indiana $225,200
Arizona $233,270
State figures come from the 29-1213 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.
What the score is made of
Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.
Automation potential 34%
Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.
Physical work 0%
Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.
Judgment & influence 66%
Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.
Routine administration 7%
Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.
Rewritten by O*NET 0%
Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.
Consequence of error 65/100
High
O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.
Constituent Task Mix
18 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.
High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 12%
2 tasks
Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 34%
7 tasks
Low exposure (below 35%) 53%
9 tasks
How would you survive?
Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.
Simulate Upskilling →Constituent Tasks
#17094 · Core · 12% automatable
Conduct complete skin examinations.
visual inspection — Patient physical assessment is hands-on clinical work
Examine patients to assess general physical condition.
#17092 · Core · 28% automatable
Diagnose and treat pigmented lesions such as common acquired nevi, congenital nevi, dysplastic nevi, Spitz nevi, blue nevi, or melanoma.
decision support — AI suggests differentials; clinician examines and owns diagnosis
Diagnose medical conditions. Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#17091 · Core · 2% automatable
Perform incisional biopsies to diagnose melanoma.
physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability
Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#17090 · Core · 2% automatable
Perform skin surgery to improve appearance, make early diagnoses, or control diseases such as skin cancer.
physical manipulation — Surgery is physical and high-accountability
Operate on patients to treat conditions.
#17093 · Core · 55% automatable
Counsel patients on topics such as the need for annual dermatologic screenings, sun protection, skin cancer awareness, or skin and lymph node self-examinations.
decision support — Preventive advice needs patient-specific clinical judgment
Advise patients on preventive care techniques.
#17095 · Core · 28% automatable
Diagnose and treat skin conditions such as acne, dandruff, athlete's foot, moles, psoriasis, or skin cancer.
decision support — AI suggests differentials; clinician examines and owns diagnosis
Diagnose medical conditions. Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#17078 · Core · 62% automatable
Record patients' health histories.
interpersonal — Patient history requires live elicitation and judgment
Record patient medical histories.
#17085 · Core · 45% automatable
Recommend diagnostic tests based on patients' histories and physical examination findings.
decision support — Clinical ordering requires licensed human accountability
Order medical diagnostic or clinical tests.
#17089 · Core · 22% automatable
Prescribe hormonal agents or topical treatments such as contraceptives, spironolactone, antiandrogens, oral corticosteroids, retinoids, benzoyl peroxide, or antibiotics.
decision support — Prescribing medications is licensed high-stakes judgment
Prescribe medications.
#17084 · Core · 45% automatable
Conduct or order diagnostic tests such as chest radiographs (x-rays), microbiologic tests, or endocrinologic tests.
decision support — Clinical ordering requires licensed human accountability
Order medical diagnostic or clinical tests.
#17081 · Core · 75% automatable
Read current literature, talk with colleagues, and participate in professional organizations or conferences to keep abreast of developments in dermatology.
information retrieval — AI summarizes medical updates; human retains judgment
Maintain medical or professional knowledge.
#17079 · Core · 50% automatable
Provide dermatologic consultation to other health professionals.
decision support — Clinical advice needs licensed accountability and context
Advise medical personnel regarding healthcare issues.
#17077 · Core · 55% automatable
Refer patients to other specialists, as needed.
decision support — Clinical referral judgment needs licensed human accountability
Refer patients to other healthcare practitioners or health resources.
#17082 · Core · 30% automatable
Instruct interns or residents in diagnosis and treatment of dermatological diseases.
interpersonal — Provider training is clinical, hands-on, accountable
Train medical providers.
#17087 · Core · 15% automatable
Provide therapies such as intralesional steroids, chemical peels, or comodo removal to treat age spots, sun damage, rough skin, discolored skin, or oily skin.
decision support — Chronic disease management needs clinical judgment
Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#17088 · Core · 15% automatable
Provide dermabrasion or laser abrasion to treat atrophic scars, elevated scars, or other skin conditions.
decision support — Chronic disease management needs clinical judgment
Treat chronic diseases or disorders.
#17086 · Supplemental · 40% automatable
Conduct clinical or basic research.
information retrieval — Literature review aided; wet-lab and clinical research human
Conduct research to increase knowledge about medical issues.
#17083 · Supplemental · 55% automatable
Evaluate patients to determine eligibility for cosmetic procedures such as liposuction, laser resurfacing, or microdermabrasion.
decision support — Treatment goals need clinical accountability and context
Analyze patient data to determine patient needs or treatment goals.
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How this was scored
- 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
- 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
- 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
- 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.
Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.
Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast
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