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AI Automation Index
Will AI Replace Construction Managers?
Task-level automation exposure for Construction Managers: 25 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.
E-E-A-T Verified
Developed & audited by Gini Loh Automation Exposure
52%
weighted task index
25 of 25 tasks scored
Median Salary
$114,990 / year
BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation
Employment Level
Very High
380,360 people hold this job — size, not growth
Projected 2025–35
+9.1%
employment change
49,700 openings a year · BLS line item
Pay by state
BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.
$77,380 – $155,360
Highest medians
New York $155,360
Washington $155,070
Massachusetts $145,010
Alaska $139,190
New Jersey $138,230
Lowest medians
Puerto Rico $77,380
Arkansas $86,310
Virgin Islands $89,950
Wyoming $92,320
West Virginia $95,740
State figures come from the 11-9021 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.
What the score is made of
Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.
Automation potential 52%
Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.
Physical work 0%
Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.
Judgment & influence 55%
Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.
Routine administration 12%
Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.
Rewritten by O*NET 0%
Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.
Consequence of error 40/100
Moderate
O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.
Constituent Task Mix
25 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.
High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 46%
12 tasks
Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 35%
9 tasks
Low exposure (below 35%) 19%
4 tasks
How would you survive?
Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.
Simulate Upskilling →Emerging & rewritten tasks
Tasks O*NET added or rewrote for this occupation in its recent updates (05/2025 – 08/2026), with who proposed them. Additions are not in the scored task inventory — they are new work O*NET is still measuring, so they appear here and nowhere in the index. A Revision replaces a task that is scored, which is why only those move the "Rewritten by O*NET" share.
- New 05/2025 · AI/SME
Direct how drone technology is used for site inspections and progress monitoring, ensuring accurate and timely project completion.
Constituent Tasks
#3318 · Core · 65% automatable
Inspect or review projects to monitor compliance with building and safety codes or other regulations.
decision support — AI assesses compliance against written standards
Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards.
#3327 · Core · 50% automatable
Develop or implement quality control programs.
text generation — AI drafts evaluation procedures; human adapts to org
Implement organizational process or policy changes. Develop procedures to evaluate organizational activities.
#20332 · Core · 40% automatable
Plan, schedule, or coordinate construction project activities to meet deadlines.
decision support — AI drafts strategies; human owns operational judgment
Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures. Manage construction activities.
#3326 · Core · 78% automatable
Prepare and submit budget estimates, progress reports, or cost tracking reports.
data analysis — Reports and budgets drafted; human owns assumptions
Prepare financial documents, reports, or budgets.
#20340 · Core · 30% automatable
Direct and supervise construction or related workers.
interpersonal — Employee supervision is accountability-bearing human work
Supervise employees.
#3317 · Core · 60% automatable
Determine labor requirements for dispatching workers to construction sites.
data analysis — Labor estimates depend on context and human calibration
Estimate labor requirements.
#3314 · Core · 40% automatable
Confer with supervisory personnel, owners, contractors, or design professionals to discuss and resolve matters, such as work procedures, complaints, or construction problems.
decision support — AI drafts specs; human negotiates tradeoffs
Negotiate project specifications.
#20334 · Core · 60% automatable
Prepare contracts or negotiate revisions to contractual agreements with architects, consultants, clients, suppliers, or subcontractors.
text generation — Fill forms from provided information
Prepare forms or applications. Negotiate project specifications.
#3323 · Core · 66% automatable
Study job specifications to determine appropriate construction methods.
visual inspection — Blueprints need spatial reading, human verifies sequence
Review blueprints or other instructions to determine operational methods or sequences.
#3315 · Core · 24% automatable
Plan, organize, or direct activities concerned with the construction or maintenance of structures, facilities, or systems.
physical manipulation — Facility maintenance direction requires hands-on site oversight
Manage construction activities. Direct facility maintenance or repair activities.
#20339 · Core · 22% automatable
Contract or oversee craft work, such as painting or plumbing.
interpersonal — Managing construction is site leadership and accountability
Manage construction activities.
#20333 · Core · 48% automatable
Investigate damage, accidents, or delays at construction sites to ensure that proper construction procedures are being followed.
decision support — AI assesses compliance against written standards
Investigate industrial or transportation accidents. Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards.
#20336 · Core · 59% automatable
Interpret and explain plans and contract terms to representatives of the owner or developer, including administrative staff, workers, or clients.
text generation — AI drafts policy communications; human approves
Communicate organizational policies and procedures. Communicate organizational information to customers or other stakeholders.
#20335 · Core · 22% automatable
Implement new or modified plans in response to delays, bad weather, or construction site emergencies.
interpersonal — Managing construction is site leadership and accountability
Manage construction activities.
#3325 · Core · 65% automatable
Requisition supplies or materials to complete construction projects.
decision support — Procurement drafting and comparison; human commits funds
Purchase materials, equipment, or other resources.
#20337 · Core · 80% automatable
Apply for and obtain all necessary permits or licenses.
text generation — Fill forms from provided information
Prepare forms or applications.
#19523 · Core · 65% automatable
Perform, or contract others to perform, pre-building assessments, such as conceptual cost estimating, rough order of magnitude estimating, feasibility, or energy efficiency, environmental, and sustainability assessments.
data analysis — Feasibility analysis from data, human validates assumptions
Estimate green project costs. Analyze data to determine project feasibility.
#20338 · Core · 70% automatable
Evaluate construction methods and determine cost-effectiveness of plans, using computer models.
data analysis — Forecast analysis for decisions; human decides
Model operational processes. Analyze forecasting data to improve business decisions.
#19522 · Core · 60% automatable
Inspect or review projects to monitor compliance with environmental regulations.
decision support — Checks program against standards; human verifies compliance
Evaluate green operations or programs for compliance with standards or regulations.
#19520 · Core · 42% automatable
Develop or implement environmental protection programs.
decision support — Remediation plans drafted; regulatory and site judgment human
Implement organizational process or policy changes. Develop environmental remediation or protection plans.
#19524 · Core · 55% automatable
Secure third-party verification from sources, such as Leadership in Energy Efficient Design (LEED), to ensure responsible design and building activities or to achieve favorable LEED ratings for building projects.
interpersonal — AI drafts outreach; human builds candidate relationships
Recruit personnel.
#19521 · Core · 52% automatable
Implement training programs on environmentally responsible building topics to update employee skills and knowledge.
text generation — Compliance content AI-draftable; live training human
Train employees on environmental awareness, conservation, or safety topics.
#19519 · Supplemental · 68% automatable
Develop construction budgets to compare green and non-green construction alternatives, in terms of short-term costs, long-term costs, or environmental impacts.
data analysis — Green operational budget drafting from cost assumptions
Prepare operational budgets for green energy or other green operations.
#19518 · Supplemental · 58% automatable
Apply green building strategies to reduce energy costs or minimize carbon output or other sources of harm to the environment.
text generation — Policy drafting aided; governance decisions human
Develop sustainable organizational policies or practices.
#3331 · Supplemental · 65% automatable
Direct acquisition of land for construction projects.
decision support — Procurement drafting and comparison; human commits funds
Purchase materials, equipment, or other resources.
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How this was scored
- 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
- 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
- 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
- 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.
Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.
Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast
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