Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development Managers?

Task-level automation exposure for Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development Managers: 18 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

48% weighted task index

18 of 18 tasks scored

Median Salary

$171,270 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

High

220,260 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+5.5% employment change

14,900 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 53 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$100,740 – $215,120

Highest medians

New Mexico $215,120
California $210,280
Massachusetts $201,430
Washington $189,680
District of Columbia $185,220

Lowest medians

Guam $100,740
Puerto Rico $130,560
Arkansas $140,600
Nebraska $141,020
Wisconsin $142,060

State figures come from the 11-9041 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 48%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 35%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 0%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 19/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

18 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 34%

5 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 31%

7 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 36%

6 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#15574 · Core · 50% automatable

Design or conduct applied biodiesel or biofuels research projects on topics, such as transport, thermodynamics, mixing, filtration, distillation, fermentation, extraction, and separation.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15578 · Core · 75% automatable

Analyze data from biofuels studies, such as fluid dynamics, water treatments, or solvent extraction and recovery processes.

data analysis — Energy production data evaluation is quantitative

Evaluate energy production data.
#15567 · Core · 60% automatable

Prepare, or oversee the preparation of, experimental plans for biofuels research or development.

text generation — Strategies drafted; operational feasibility human-owned

Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures for green or sustainable operations.
#15566 · Core · 28% automatable

Provide technical or scientific guidance to technical staff in the conduct of biofuels research or development.

interpersonal — Directing workers in the field is human supervision

Supervise workers performing environmentally sustainable activities.
#15580 · Core · 60% automatable

Propose new biofuels products, processes, technologies or applications based on findings from applied biofuels or biomass research projects.

decision support — Specs drafted; human validates feasibility

Develop specifications for new products or processes.
#15576 · Core · 30% automatable

Conduct experiments on biomass or pretreatment technologies.

physical manipulation — Testing green tech installations requires physical setup

Test green technologies or processes.
#15568 · Core · 60% automatable

Prepare biofuels research and development reports for senior management or technical professionals.

text generation — AI drafts green energy communications; human reviews

Communicate green energy production information.
#15563 · Core · 68% automatable

Develop lab scale models of industrial scale processes, such as fermentation.

data analysis — Process modeling from specs; human validates model

Model operational processes.
#15579 · Core · 28% automatable

Oversee biodiesel/biofuels prototyping or development projects.

decision support — Plant operations direction needs real-time human control

Direct green energy production operations.
#15577 · Core · 30% automatable

Conduct experiments to test new or alternate feedstock fermentation processes.

physical manipulation — Testing green tech installations requires physical setup

Test green technologies or processes.
#15572 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Develop methods to estimate the efficiency of biomass pretreatments.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15569 · Supplemental · 30% automatable

Perform protein functional analysis and engineering for processing of feedstock and creation of biofuels.

physical manipulation — Testing green tech installations requires physical setup

Test green technologies or processes.
#15581 · Supplemental · 30% automatable

Conduct research to breed or develop energy crops with improved biomass yield, environmental adaptability, pest resistance, production efficiency, bioprocessing characteristics, or reduced environmental impacts.

physical manipulation — Testing green tech installations requires physical setup

Test green technologies or processes.
#15564 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Develop computational tools or approaches to improve biofuels research and development activities.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15570 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Develop separation processes to recover biofuels.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15575 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Design chemical conversion processes, such as etherification, esterification, interesterification, transesterification, distillation, hydrogenation, oxidation or reduction of fats and oils, and vegetable oil refining.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15573 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Design or execute solvent or product recovery experiments in laboratory or field settings.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
#15571 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Develop methods to recover ethanol or other fuels from complex bioreactor liquid and gas streams.

decision support — AI proposes biofuel processes; lab validation required

Develop technical processes to improve the efficiency of biofuel production.
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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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