Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers?

Task-level automation exposure for Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers: 32 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

57% weighted task index

32 of 32 tasks scored

Median Salary

$101,920 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Low

23,470 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+5.1% employment change

1,800 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 50 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$61,810 – $145,220

Highest medians

Texas $145,220
Rhode Island $121,010
Oklahoma $119,990
Colorado $114,410
Mississippi $112,400

Lowest medians

Connecticut $61,810
Arkansas $67,880
Indiana $68,240
South Dakota $71,150
Georgia $73,920

State figures come from the 19-2042 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 57%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 75%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 4%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 4/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

32 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 54%

15 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 39%

14 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 7%

3 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#20390 · Core · 82% automatable

Locate and review research articles or environmental, historical, or technical reports.

information retrieval — AI can search and summarize literature, human curates

Review professional literature to maintain professional knowledge.
#3712 · Core · 63% automatable

Communicate geological findings by writing research papers, participating in conferences, or teaching geological science at universities.

text generation — Reports drafted; presentations need human delivery

Prepare scientific or technical reports or presentations. Communicate results of environmental research. Instruct college students in physical or life sciences.
#3703 · Core · 49% automatable

Plan or conduct geological, geochemical, or geophysical field studies or surveys, sample collection, or drilling and testing programs used to collect data for research or application.

decision support — Study designs aided; scientific accountability human

Conduct research to gain information about products or processes. Design research studies to obtain scientific information.
#3705 · Core · 60% automatable

Prepare geological maps, cross-sectional diagrams, charts, or reports concerning mineral extraction, land use, or resource management, using results of fieldwork or laboratory research.

visual inspection — Generates maps from data; cartographic judgment human

Prepare maps.
#15224 · Core · 70% automatable

Analyze and interpret geological data, using computer software.

data analysis — Geological/geographic data analysis with human review

Analyze geological or geographical data. Interpret research or operational data.
#3704 · Core · 55% automatable

Investigate the composition, structure, or history of the Earth's crust through the collection, examination, measurement, or classification of soils, minerals, rocks, or fossil remains.

information retrieval — Geology literature research aided; field work human

Research geological features or processes.
#3702 · Core · 70% automatable

Analyze and interpret geological, geochemical, or geophysical information from sources, such as survey data, well logs, bore holes, or aerial photos.

data analysis — Geological/geographic data analysis with human review

Analyze geological or geographical data. Interpret research or operational data.
#3706 · Core · 62% automatable

Locate and estimate probable natural gas, oil, or mineral ore deposits or underground water resources, using aerial photographs, charts, or research or survey results.

data analysis — Analyzes geospatial data; field validation still needed

Locate natural resources using geospatial or other environmental data.
#19772 · Core · 55% automatable

Study historical climate change indicators found in locations, such as ice sheets or rock formations to develop climate change models.

information retrieval — Literature synthesis aided; field hydrology needs humans

Research hydrologic features or processes.
#19771 · Core · 60% automatable

Review work plans to determine the effectiveness of activities for mitigating soil or groundwater contamination.

decision support — Evaluates conservation plans; judgment and field context needed

Review plans or proposals for environmental conservation.
#3707 · Core · 40% automatable

Assess ground or surface water movement to provide advice on issues, such as waste management, route and site selection, or the restoration of contaminated sites.

physical manipulation — Measuring environmental characteristics needs instruments

Measure environmental characteristics.
#20391 · Core · 71% automatable

Identify risks for natural disasters, such as mudslides, earthquakes, or volcanic eruptions.

data analysis — Statistical analysis of environmental datasets is automatable

Analyze environmental data. Interpret research or operational data.
#3711 · Core · 65% automatable

Advise construction firms or government agencies on dam or road construction, foundation design, land use, or resource management.

information retrieval — Environmental advice is knowledge-based with review

Advise others about environmental management or conservation.
#3709 · Core · 55% automatable

Conduct geological or geophysical studies to provide information for use in regional development, site selection, or development of public works projects.

information retrieval — Geology literature research aided; field work human

Research geological features or processes.
#19763 · Core · 45% automatable

Develop strategies for more environmentally friendly resource extraction and reclamation.

decision support — Resource plans need ecological and political judgment

Develop plans to manage natural or renewable resources.
#3713 · Core · 40% automatable

Measure characteristics of the Earth, such as gravity or magnetic fields, using equipment such as seismographs, gravimeters, torsion balances, or magnetometers.

physical manipulation — Measuring environmental characteristics needs instruments

Measure environmental characteristics.
#21176 · Core · 88% automatable

Review environmental, historical, or technical reports and publications for accuracy.

text generation — Proofreading text for accuracy is core LLM strength

Proofread documents, records, or other files to ensure accuracy.
#20393 · Core · 62% automatable

Identify deposits of construction materials suitable for use as concrete aggregates, road fill, or other applications.

data analysis — Analyzes geospatial data; field validation still needed

Locate natural resources using geospatial or other environmental data.
#15226 · Core · 60% automatable

Design geological mine maps, monitor mine structural integrity, or advise and monitor mining crews.

visual inspection — Generates maps from data; cartographic judgment human

Prepare maps.
#19765 · Core · 62% automatable

Identify new sources of platinum group elements for industrial applications, such as automotive fuel cells or pollution abatement systems.

data analysis — Analyzes geospatial data; field validation still needed

Locate natural resources using geospatial or other environmental data.
#3716 · Core · 62% automatable

Develop applied software for the analysis and interpretation of geological data.

text generation — Scientific code drafted; domain validation by humans

Develop software or applications for scientific or technical use.
#19767 · Core · 62% automatable

Locate potential sources of geothermal energy.

data analysis — Analyzes geospatial data; field validation still needed

Locate natural resources using geospatial or other environmental data.
#19766 · Core · 20% automatable

Identify possible sites for carbon sequestration projects.

visual inspection — Physical site verification against specs is human

Collect data about project sites. Inspect facilities or sites to determine if they meet specifications or standards.
#19768 · Supplemental · 45% automatable

Provide advice on the safe siting of new nuclear reactor projects or methods of nuclear waste management.

decision support — Emergency advice needs situated judgment and authority

Advise others on management of emergencies or hazardous situations or materials.
#20392 · Supplemental · 25% automatable

Inspect construction projects to analyze engineering problems, using test equipment or drilling machinery.

visual inspection — Construction oversight requires on-site physical presence

Monitor construction operations. Inspect work sites to identify potential environmental or safety hazards.
#19761 · Supplemental · 59% automatable

Determine methods to incorporate geomethane or methane hydrates into global energy production or evaluate the potential environmental impacts of such incorporation.

information retrieval — Literature synthesis strong; field measurement human

Research impacts of environmental conservation initiatives. Determine methods to minimize environmental impact of activities.
#19764 · Supplemental · 50% automatable

Develop ways to capture or use gases burned off as waste during oil production processes.

text generation — Industrial methods need domain validation and testing

Develop sustainable industrial or development methods.
#19760 · Supplemental · 35% automatable

Collaborate with medical or health researchers to address health problems related to geological materials or processes.

interpersonal — Coordinating research programs is relational leadership

Coordinate cross-disciplinary research programs.
#3714 · Supplemental · 20% automatable

Test industrial diamonds or abrasives, soil, or rocks to determine their geological characteristics, using optical, x-ray, heat, acid, or precision instruments.

physical manipulation — Lab sample handling and instruments are hands-on

Analyze geological samples.
#19762 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Determine ways to mitigate the negative consequences of mineral dust dispersion.

decision support — Mitigation options; human owns compliance

Determine methods to minimize environmental impact of activities.
#19769 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Research geomechanical or geochemical processes to be used in carbon sequestration projects.

information retrieval — Geology literature research aided; field work human

Research geological features or processes.
#19770 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Research ways to reduce the ecological footprint of increasingly prevalent megacities.

decision support — Mitigation options; human owns compliance

Determine methods to minimize environmental impact of activities.
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Community Sentiment

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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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