Gini Loh System Tools

AI Automation Index

Will AI Replace Loss Prevention Managers?

Task-level automation exposure for Loss Prevention Managers: 27 O*NET tasks scored against their work activities, plus the simulator.

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Developed & audited by Gini Loh

Automation Exposure

50% weighted task index

27 of 27 tasks scored

Median Salary

$141,900 / year

BLS OEWS, May 2025 — this exact occupation

Employment Level

Very High

622,190 people hold this job — size, not growth

Projected 2025–35

+4.9% employment change

100,900 openings a year · BLS line item

Pay by state

BLS OEWS publishes 54 state estimates for this occupation. Each is its own survey estimate, not the national median adjusted for local prices.

$79,900 – $182,950

Highest medians

Massachusetts $182,950
District of Columbia $175,720
California $174,560
Colorado $171,140
Delaware $168,060

Lowest medians

Indiana $79,900
Puerto Rico $82,250
Arkansas $87,520
Virgin Islands $95,530
Tennessee $99,430

State figures come from the 11-9199 row in the May 2025 state panel. States where the estimate was suppressed or too small to publish are absent.

What the score is made of

Each task is mapped to its work activities, scored for AI automation potential, and weighted by how important those activities are to the job. These are the components.

Automation potential 50%

Importance-weighted mean of the scored tasks. This is the headline index.

Physical work 0%

Share of weighted tasks in hands-on or machine-operating work activities.

Judgment & influence 62%

Share in analysis, decisions, teaching, directing, advising, or caring for others.

Routine administration 4%

Share in documenting, recording, and administrative activities.

Rewritten by O*NET 0%

Share of weighted tasks O*NET rewrote in a recent update. Reported, not folded into the score.

Consequence of error 9/100 Low

O*NET's own rating of how serious an uncorrectable mistake would be here — respondents, not us. Deliberately not in the index: the score measures what AI can do with the task content, and multiplying it by stakes would be our judgment dressed as data.

Constituent Task Mix

27 tasks for this occupation, weighted by work-activity importance. Shares below are of total task weight, not task count.

High exposure (≥ 60% of the task is automatable) 37%

10 tasks

Medium exposure (≥ 35%) 43%

12 tasks

Low exposure (below 35%) 20%

5 tasks

How would you survive?

Move your week away from the high-exposure tasks and toward the ones that need judgment. The simulator recalculates the index as you shift the mix.

Simulate Upskilling →

Constituent Tasks

#15800 · Core · 33% automatable

Coordinate or conduct internal investigations of problems such as employee theft and violations of corporate loss prevention policies.

decision support — AI aids analysis, investigation is human-led

Investigate crimes committed within organizations. Investigate illegal or suspicious activities.
#15807 · Core · 35% automatable

Administer systems and programs to reduce loss, maintain inventory control, or increase safety.

decision support — Security management needs accountability and situational judgment

Manage organizational security activities.
#15781 · Core · 65% automatable

Review loss prevention exception reports and cash discrepancies to ensure adherence to guidelines.

data analysis — Flags policy violations in records; human adjudicates

Examine financial records to ensure compliance with policies or regulations.
#15791 · Core · 45% automatable

Train loss prevention staff, retail managers, or store employees on loss control and prevention measures.

interpersonal — Program design aided, delivery and engagement are human

Conduct employee training programs.
#15786 · Core · 30% automatable

Investigate or interview individuals suspected of shoplifting or internal theft.

interpersonal — Live interviewing is human relational work

Interview employees, customers, or others to collect information.
#15783 · Core · 65% automatable

Provide recommendations and solutions in crisis situations such as workplace violence, protests, and demonstrations.

text generation — Response plans drafted; compliance review human

Develop emergency response plans or procedures.
#15806 · Core · 59% automatable

Identify potential for loss and develop strategies to eliminate it.

decision support — Risk analysis aids; accountability-bearing judgment human

Analyze risks to minimize losses or damages. Develop operating strategies, plans, or procedures.
#15795 · Core · 30% automatable

Hire or supervise loss prevention staff.

interpersonal — Employee supervision is accountability-bearing human work

Supervise employees. Hire personnel.
#15804 · Core · 55% automatable

Advise retail managers on compliance with applicable codes, laws, regulations, or standards.

decision support — Compliance guidance drafted; human verifies and owns

Advise others on legal or regulatory compliance matters.
#15799 · Core · 28% automatable

Develop and maintain partnerships with federal, state, or local law enforcement agencies or members of the retail loss prevention community.

interpersonal — Interpersonal business relationships are inherently human

Establish interpersonal business relationships to facilitate work activities.
#15794 · Core · 50% automatable

Perform or direct inventory investigations in response to shrink results outside of acceptable ranges.

decision support — Audit fieldwork and attestation remain human-owned

Conduct financial or regulatory audits.
#15796 · Core · 80% automatable

Maintain documentation of all loss prevention activity.

data analysis — Maintain operational records in structured systems

Maintain operational records.
#15802 · Core · 55% automatable

Assess security needs across locations to ensure proper deployment of loss prevention resources, such as staff and technology.

decision support — Broad resource determination needs organizational judgment

Determine resource needs.
#15805 · Core · 65% automatable

Monitor compliance to operational, safety, or inventory control procedures, including physical security standards.

decision support — AI tracks regulatory compliance across documents

Monitor organizational compliance with regulations.
#15790 · Core · 20% automatable

Verify correct use and maintenance of physical security systems, such as closed-circuit television, merchandise tags, and burglar alarms.

visual inspection — Physical condition/function check needs hands-on access

Inspect condition or functioning of facilities or equipment.
#15789 · Core · 65% automatable

Visit stores to ensure compliance with company policies and procedures.

decision support — AI assesses compliance against written standards

Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards.
#15803 · Core · 72% automatable

Analyze retail data to identify current or emerging trends in theft or fraud.

data analysis — Forecast analysis for decisions; human decides

Analyze forecasting data to improve business decisions.
#15798 · Core · 43% automatable

Direct loss prevention audit programs including target store audits, maintenance audits, safety audits, or electronic article surveillance (EAS) audits.

decision support — Audit fieldwork and attestation remain human-owned

Conduct financial or regulatory audits. Manage organizational security activities.
#15801 · Core · 55% automatable

Collaborate with law enforcement to investigate and solve external theft or fraud cases.

text generation — Drafting agency communications aided; relationships human

Communicate with government agencies.
#15797 · Core · 35% automatable

Coordinate theft and fraud investigations involving career criminals or organized group activities.

decision support — Security management needs accountability and situational judgment

Manage organizational security activities.
#15792 · Core · 35% automatable

Supervise surveillance, detection, or criminal processing related to theft and criminal cases.

decision support — Security management needs accountability and situational judgment

Manage organizational security activities.
#15782 · Core · 70% automatable

Perform cash audits and deposit investigations to fully account for store cash.

data analysis — Cash flow tracking is digital and analyzable

Monitor flow of cash or other resources.
#15793 · Core · 60% automatable

Recommend improvements in loss prevention programs, staffing, scheduling, or training.

decision support — Drafts policy options; political judgment owned by human

Recommend organizational process or policy changes.
#15787 · Core · 35% automatable

Direct installation of covert surveillance equipment, such as security cameras.

decision support — Security management needs accountability and situational judgment

Manage organizational security activities.
#15784 · Core · 60% automatable

Monitor and review paperwork procedures and systems to prevent error-related shortages.

data analysis — Procedure conformance monitoring is largely document and data based

Monitor organizational procedures to ensure proper functioning.
#15788 · Core · 62% automatable

Advise retail establishments on development of loss-investigation procedures.

decision support — Drafts advice; accountability and context owned by human

Advise others on business or operational matters.
#15785 · Supplemental · 55% automatable

Maintain databases such as bad check logs, reports on multiple offenders, and alarm activation lists.

decision support — Systems design aided; integration and accountability human

Develop computer or information systems.
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Method

How this was scored

  1. 1. Tasks. O*NET task statements for this occupation, from a release whose newest record is dated 08/2026.
  2. 2. Work activities. Each task maps to 1–5 Detailed Work Activities; each activity belongs to one of 41 Generalized Work Activities that O*NET rates for importance (1–5) in this occupation.
  3. 3. Automation potential. Every work activity carries one score for how far current AI can perform it end-to-end. Tasks inherit the mean of their activities.
  4. 4. Weighting. Task weight = 0.35 + 0.65 × (importance − 1)/4, scaled by how often the task is performed and by 0.7 for Supplemental tasks. Importance is the task's own O*NET rating where it exists (18,369 of 18,838 tasks); the rest inherit their work activities' importance. The index is the weighted mean.

Check: across the 910 occupations where O*NET also rates how far machine speed sets the pace, this index moves opposite to it (Spearman ρ = -0.49). The more a job is paced by equipment, the less of its task content AI can address — the relationship you would expect if the scoring is working.

Sources · O*NET 31.0 (task records to 08/2026) · BLS OEWS May 2025 · BLS projections 2025-2035 · rubric v2.1 · tasks for O*NET, not a forecast

See the full method →

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